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MX · Mexico · –

Jiquipilas fire, May 2023 Jiquipilas

Out · last detection 28 May 2023, 18:41 UTC

The fire started on 9 May 2023 in Jiquipilas, Mexico, and satellites saw it burning for 20 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 4,370 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality. According to CONAFOR, the largest of the 3 recorded fires was detected on 13 May 2023 and declared extinguished on 21 May 2023.

It is the 29th largest in Chiapas since 2016 (of 246 with a page). Number 57 in Mexico in 2023, of 285.

The power measured by the satellite is low (20.5 MW in the strongest hotspot), more typical of grass or stubble burning, or a slow surface fire, than of a large crown fire.

Burnt area
4,370ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
20days
9 May 2023 – 28 May 2023
Municipalities hit
1
municipalities
Started on
9 May
2023
Heat detections
104
in a single hotspot: 21 MW
Danger at start
21
Moderate · FWI index
Average daily power
38MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 9 May28 May
28 May 2023

How it evolved, day by day

9 May 2023 · 2 MW · 1 13 May 2023 · 60 MW · 10 14 May 2023 · 11 MW · 2 15 May 2023 · 15 MW · 9 16 May 2023 · 67 MW · 15 17 May 2023 · 47 MW · 14 18 May 2023 · 84 MW · 23 20 May 2023 · 89 MW · 20 23 May 2023 · 44 MW · 5 24 May 2023 · 6 MW · 1 25 May 2023 · 14 MW · 2 28 May 2023 · 17 MW · 2
9 May 15 May 20 May

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

33°high
54km/h · peak gust
36%lowest humidity

It had gone 8 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started. Rain came after the fire: 3.3 mm on 30 May.

This area had burned before

100% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 4,433 ha in 2016, 1,036 ha in 2018, 3,854 ha in 2019, 1,639 ha in 2021, 411 ha in 2022. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 4,391 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 2.8% of the area of London (44 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Jiquipilas where it started
    4,393 ha reached on 9 May
    3.4 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2025
Built-up area0.23 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there were about 0.23 hectares of built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2025, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned. The GHSL 2025 epoch is a projection made from 2020 and earlier data.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

Official record

Complex of 3 fires according to CONAFOR

According to CONAFOR, 3 fires started inside this perimeter on these dates, totalling 4,464 ha (the satellite measured 4,370 ha).

CONAFOR records each fire that started at a different time or place separately; the satellite sees a single burned area, so this page groups them together. The numbers on the map show where each one started.

When each one burned

1 140 ha 2 119 ha 3 4,205 ha
9 May20 May
negligence
  1. 1 Jiquipilas Cristobal Colón/ Rayanal 9 May 2023 140 ha · extinguished on 11 May 2023 · cause: negligence
  2. 2 Jiquipilas Cristobal Colón 2/ Rayanal 11 May 2023 119 ha · extinguished on 13 May 2023 · cause: negligence
  3. 3 Jiquipilas Ejido Luis Espinoza/ La Bandera 13 May 2023 4,205 ha · extinguished on 21 May 2023 · cause: negligence

Total according to CONAFOR: 4,464 ha, 102 % of the 4,370 ha in the satellite perimeter.

CONAFOR (Comisión Nacional Forestal), estadística de incendios forestales en datos.gob.mx (CC BY 4.0). This is the agency’s consolidated statistic: it measures the area in its own way, which is why it can differ from the satellite.

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
9 May 33.3 °C 47 % 34 km/h 0.9 mm Moderate 21
10 May 31.4 °C 57 % 39 km/h 1.6 mm Moderate 13
11 May 30.8 °C 49 % 46 km/h 0.8 mm Moderate 20
12 May 32.1 °C 51 % 41 km/h 1.0 mm Moderate 18
13 May 31.9 °C 49 % 39 km/h 0.4 mm High 22
14 May 30.1 °C 51 % 37 km/h 7.6 mm Very low 5
15 May 29.3 °C 53 % 41 km/h 1.0 mm Low 9
16 May 31.2 °C 44 % 42 km/h 0.9 mm Moderate 17
17 May 32.6 °C 42 % 27 km/h 0.2 mm Moderate 19
18 May 32.6 °C 49 % 28 km/h 4.2 mm Very low 4
19 May 30.9 °C 56 % 48 km/h 0.2 mm Moderate 15
20 May 29.9 °C 60 % 54 km/h 0.6 mm Moderate 16
21 May 27.2 °C 63 % 52 km/h 0.7 mm Moderate 14
22 May 29.7 °C 55 % 42 km/h 0.3 mm Moderate 16
23 May 30.7 °C 56 % 30 km/h 1.7 mm Low 7
24 May 32.1 °C 52 % 30 km/h 1.3 mm Low 8
25 May 31.4 °C 47 % 40 km/h 0.1 mm Moderate 18
26 May 30.0 °C 49 % 45 km/h 0.2 mm Moderate 20
27 May 30.9 °C 40 % 49 km/h 0.0 mm High 25
28 May 32.8 °C 36 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 21
29 May after 32.9 °C 40 % 31 km/h 0.5 mm High 23
30 May after 31.9 °C 51 % 30 km/h 3.3 mm Low 6

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 20.6, a minimum humidity of 47% and 8 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 43.

FWI at the start 20.6
Minimum humidity 47 %
Days without rain 8
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Cintalapa fire, March 2017
1,863 ha 12 days FWI 21.8 Min. humidity 45 % 62 km away, in 2017

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

10 days
median duration
2,620 ha
median area
100 %
went past 1,000 ha
2.6 mm
rain at the end (median; 36 of 43 had it)

It was 1.7 times larger than the median of its twins and lasted 20 days, against 10 days.

Only 3 of its 43 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 7 of 43, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.6 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

3.3 mmfirst rain
30 May2 days after it ended
54km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 28 May, and on 30 May 3.3 mm fell. We do not know whether the rain or the firefighters put it out. Twins with rain when they ended: 36 of 43, with a median of 2.6 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 2 May 2023
After · 4 Jun 2023

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 18 May 2023 the air beside the fire reached 69 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 48: 3.2 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak69 µg/m³
Days over the guideline11 days
PM1099 µg/m³
Optical depth1.61
11 May14 May17 May20 May23 May
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 104Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Mexico

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Jiquipilas fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 9 May 2023 to 28 May 2023 (20 days). The perimeter dates it from 13 May 2023 to 21 May 2023. According to CONAFOR, the largest of the 3 recorded fires was detected on 13 May 2023 and declared extinguished on 21 May 2023.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 4,370 hectares (43.7 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Jiquipilas (4,393 ha, 3.4 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 33.3 °C, humidity dropped to 36 % and gusts hit 54 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 25, class High.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Mexico (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 43. Their median duration was 10 days and their median area 2,620 ha; 100 % went past 1,000 ha. Only 3 of its 43 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 7 of 43, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.6 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Emergency number: 911 · Emergency number and official warnings

Satellite cross-check

History of this page Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
What do you think is wrong?

We will only use your email to reply about this report. Privacy. This is not an emergency service: if there is a fire now, call 911.

How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 13 May 2023 to 21 May 2023. 104 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • Compared with CONAFOR: 4,464 official ha against 4,370 ha of perimeter; they agree within 25%.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2025, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.