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ZW · Zimbabwe · –

Hwange fire, 27 September 2022 Hwange

Out · last detection 8 Oct 2022, 12:34 UTC

The fire started on 27 September 2022 in Hwange, Zimbabwe, and satellites saw it burning for 12 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 1,017 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 391th largest in Matabeleland North since 2016 (of 402 with a page). Number 335 in Zimbabwe in 2022, of 346.

The power measured by the satellite is low (23.2 MW in the strongest hotspot), more typical of grass or stubble burning, or a slow surface fire, than of a large crown fire.

Compare with…
Burnt area
1,017ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
12days
27 Sept 2022 – 8 Oct 2022
Municipalities hit
1
districts
Started on
27 Sept
2022
Heat detections
31
in a single hotspot: 23 MW
Danger at start
50
Very high · FWI index
Average daily power
29MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 27 Sept8 Oct
8 Oct 2022

How it evolved, day by day

27 Sept 2022 · 48 MW · 4 28 Sept 2022 · 11 MW · 4 29 Sept 2022 · 40 MW · 3 1 Oct 2022 · 85 MW · 12 2 Oct 2022 · 8 MW · 1 4 Oct 2022 · 3 MW · 1 5 Oct 2022 · 21 MW · 3 8 Oct 2022 · 19 MW · 3
27 Sept 1 Oct 5 Oct

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

36°high
49km/h · peak gust
11%lowest humidity

It had gone more than two months without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

No earlier perimeters overlap this fire since 2016, when the satellite record begins.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 0.6% of the area of London (10 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Hwange where it started
    1,020 ha reached on 27 Sept
    0.0 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2020
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2020, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Started with 60 days without rain: 63 % of the area in Zimbabwe

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
27 Sept 35.4 °C 19 % 45 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 50
28 Sept 34.6 °C 17 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 50
29 Sept 32.6 °C 20 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
30 Sept 32.3 °C 22 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
1 Oct 33.2 °C 20 % 45 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
2 Oct 35.4 °C 15 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
3 Oct 35.0 °C 18 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
4 Oct 36.0 °C 17 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 50
5 Oct 35.7 °C 19 % 49 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 58
6 Oct 34.4 °C 20 % 49 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 59
7 Oct 35.7 °C 17 % 48 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 57
8 Oct 36.0 °C 11 % 47 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 60
9 Oct after 35.0 °C 14 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 58
10 Oct after 36.6 °C 8 % 48 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 64
11 Oct after 34.8 °C 15 % 46 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 62
12 Oct after 34.2 °C 17 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 57
13 Oct after 35.1 °C 15 % 45 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 60
14 Oct after 35.5 °C 15 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 57
15 Oct after 35.3 °C 18 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 57
16 Oct after 34.1 °C 20 % 51 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 60
17 Oct after 34.7 °C 22 % 52 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 59
18 Oct after 33.8 °C 22 % 46 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 55

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 49.8, a minimum humidity of 19% and more than two months without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 34.

FWI at the start 49.8
Minimum humidity 19 %
Days without rain 60+
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Hwange fire, September 2016
3,897 ha 5 days FWI 50.7 Min. humidity 19 % 114 km away, in 2016

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

4 days
median duration
2,094 ha
median area
100 %
went past 1,000 ha
2.0 mm
rain at the end (median; 9 of 34 had it)

It stayed below its twins: 1,017 ha against a median of 2,094 ha. It lasted 12 days, against 4 days.

In 25 of 34, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.0 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
49km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 8 Oct, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain. Twins with rain when they ended: 9 of 34, with a median of 2.0 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 20 Sept 2022
After · 15 Oct 2022

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 5 October 2022 the air beside the fire reached 46 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 31: 2.1 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak46 µg/m³
Days over the guideline5 days
PM1066 µg/m³
Optical depth0.84
25 Sept28 Sept1 Oct4 Oct
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 31Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Zimbabwe

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Hwange fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 27 September 2022 to 8 October 2022 (12 days). The perimeter dates it from 27 September 2022 to 2 October 2022.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 1,017 hectares (10.2 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Hwange (1,020 ha, 0.0 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 36.0 °C, humidity dropped to 11 % and gusts hit 49 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 60, class Extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Zimbabwe (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 34. Their median duration was 4 days and their median area 2,094 ha; 100 % went past 1,000 ha. In 25 of 34, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.0 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 1 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Last day with fire: 2 October 2022 → 8 October 2022.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 27 September 2022 to 2 October 2022. 31 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2020, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.