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MM · Myanmar · –

Hopong fire, 4 March 2025 Hopong

Out · last detection 13 Mar 2025, 07:09 UTC

The fire started on 4 March 2025 in Hopong, Myanmar, and satellites saw it burning for 9 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 5,614 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 81th largest in Shan since 2016 (of 625 with a page). Number 19 in Myanmar in 2025, of 133.

Burnt area
5,614ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
9days
4 Mar 2025 – 12 Mar 2025
Municipalities hit
1
municipalities
Started on
4 Mar
2025
Heat detections
268
in a single hotspot: 0 MW
Danger at start
31
High · FWI index
Average daily power
270MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 4 Mar12 Mar
13 Mar 2025

How it evolved, day by day

4 Mar 2025 · 36 MW · 10 5 Mar 2025 · 56 MW · 9 6 Mar 2025 · 94 MW · 10 7 Mar 2025 · 241 MW · 37 8 Mar 2025 · 1,419 MW · 84 9 Mar 2025 · 275 MW · 37 10 Mar 2025 · 88 MW · 11 11 Mar 2025 · 137 MW · 26 12 Mar 2025 · 308 MW · 39 13 Mar 2025 · 46 MW · 5
4 Mar 6 Mar 8 Mar 10 Mar 12 Mar

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

33°high
51km/h · peak gust
20%lowest humidity

It had gone more than two months without rain (1 mm or more) when it started. Rain came after the fire: 3.6 mm on 21 Mar.

This area had burned before

87% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 1,139 ha in 2016, 441 ha in 2017, 102 ha in 2018, 1,516 ha in 2019, 2,443 ha in 2020, 1,704 ha in 2021, 48 ha in 2023, 2,936 ha in 2024. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 4,860 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 3.5% of the area of London (56 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Hopong where it started
    5,678 ha
    1.9 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2025
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2025, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned. The GHSL 2025 epoch is a projection made from 2020 and earlier data.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Started with 60 days without rain: 24 % of the area in Myanmar

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
4 Mar 31.7 °C 30 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm High 31
5 Mar 31.6 °C 26 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm High 31
6 Mar 32.1 °C 25 % 29 km/h 0.0 mm High 32
7 Mar 32.9 °C 20 % 43 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
8 Mar 32.8 °C 24 % 51 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44
9 Mar 31.7 °C 31 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm High 36
10 Mar 33.2 °C 28 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm High 34
11 Mar 32.6 °C 28 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm High 38
12 Mar 33.3 °C 20 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
13 Mar after 32.8 °C 25 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
14 Mar after 33.8 °C 24 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
15 Mar after 33.7 °C 26 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
16 Mar after 34.7 °C 25 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
17 Mar after 34.6 °C 27 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
18 Mar after 34.2 °C 31 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
19 Mar after 33.4 °C 31 % 36 km/h 0.1 mm Very high 39
20 Mar after 32.5 °C 33 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm High 37
21 Mar after 29.8 °C 44 % 36 km/h 3.6 mm Low 7

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 31.2, a minimum humidity of 30% and more than two months without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 17.

FWI at the start 31.2
Minimum humidity 30 %
Days without rain 60+
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Hopong fire, March 2020
6,718 ha 12 days FWI 31.8 Min. humidity 29 % 18 km away, in 2020

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: 2.7 mm on 20 Mar.

What happened to them

12 days
median duration
3,405 ha
median area
0 %
went past 10,000 ha
2.2 mm
rain at the end (median; 10 of 17 had it)

It was 1.6 times larger than the median of its twins and lasted 9 days, against 12 days.

Only 1 of its 17 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 7 of 17, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.2 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

3.6 mmfirst rain
21 Mar9 days after it ended
51km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 12 Mar, and on 21 Mar 3.6 mm fell. We do not know whether the rain or the firefighters put it out. Twins with rain when they ended: 10 of 17, with a median of 2.2 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 25 Feb 2025
After · 19 Mar 2025

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 10 March 2025 the air beside the fire reached 263 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 121: 8.1 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak263 µg/m³
Days over the guideline14 days
PM10267 µg/m³
Optical depth1.52
2 Mar5 Mar8 Mar11 Mar14 Mar
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 0Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Myanmar

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Hopong fire last?
GWIS (Copernicus) dates it between 4 March 2025 and 12 March 2025: 9 days between the first and last heat detection of the perimeter.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 5,614 hectares (56.1 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Hopong (5,678 ha, 1.9 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 33.3 °C, humidity dropped to 20 % and gusts hit 51 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 44, class Very high.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Myanmar (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 17. Their median duration was 12 days and their median area 3,405 ha; 0 % went past 10,000 ha. Only 1 of its 17 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 7 of 17, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.2 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 4 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Last day with fire: 19 March 2025 → 12 March 2025.
  2. Start date: 25 February 2025 → 4 March 2025.
  3. Last day with fire: 12 March 2025 → 19 March 2025.
  4. Start date: 4 March 2025 → 25 February 2025.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery; 2 polygons grouped in this page.
  • Dates from the perimeter: the VIIRS detections inside it did not change them. No Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2025, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM3 (Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.