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Holo Prystan fire, 2 July 2024 Скадовський район · Holo Prystan

Out · last detection 11 Jul 2024, 01:11 UTC

The fire started on 2 July 2024 in Holo Prystan, Ukraine, and satellites saw it burning for 10 days. Copernicus mapped a burnt perimeter of 1,236 hectares from satellite imagery, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 67th largest in Kherson Oblast since 2016 (of 1102 with a page). Number 91 in Ukraine in 2024, of 2092.

Burnt area
1,236ha
Copernicus perimeter
Duration
10days
2 Jul 2024 – 11 Jul 2024
Municipalities hit
1
districts
Started on
2 Jul
2024
Heat detections
78
in a single hotspot: 38 MW
Danger at start
28
High · FWI index
Average daily power
49MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 2 Jul11 Jul
11 Jul 2024

How it evolved, day by day

2 Jul 2024 · 76 MW · 9 5 Jul 2024 · 10 MW · 9 6 Jul 2024 · 55 MW · 5 7 Jul 2024 · 65 MW · 12 8 Jul 2024 · 119 MW · 34 9 Jul 2024 · 32 MW · 3 10 Jul 2024 · 31 MW · 5 11 Jul 2024 · 1 MW · 1
2 Jul 6 Jul 8 Jul 10 Jul

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

36°high
35km/h · peak gust
26%lowest humidity

It had gone 15 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

6% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 76 ha in 2023.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 0.8% of the area of London (12 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Holo Prystan Скадовський район 127,000 inhabitants · 28.9 km from the centre where it started
    1,237 ha reached on 2 Jul
    0.6 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the official perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

What burned

  • Other natural land87 %
  • Mixed forest11 %
  • Agricultural areas1.3 %

Land cover inside the perimeter as reported by Copernicus EFFIS (outside the Corine Land Cover area).

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
2 Jul 32.0 °C 33 % 23 km/h 0.0 mm High 28
3 Jul 31.7 °C 34 % 29 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 38
4 Jul 28.5 °C 59 % 21 km/h 0.6 mm High 24
5 Jul 30.2 °C 45 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm High 27
6 Jul 29.5 °C 36 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
7 Jul 31.4 °C 37 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm High 38
8 Jul 32.3 °C 39 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm High 35
9 Jul 34.2 °C 39 % 31 km/h 0.1 mm Very high 38
10 Jul 36.3 °C 26 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
11 Jul 35.0 °C 26 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 62
12 Jul after 35.0 °C 29 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 56
13 Jul after 34.5 °C 21 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
14 Jul after 33.5 °C 30 % 21 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
15 Jul after 34.8 °C 39 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
16 Jul after 36.8 °C 31 % 37 km/h 0.1 mm Extreme 59
17 Jul after 35.7 °C 31 % 25 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
18 Jul after 34.3 °C 45 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm High 31
19 Jul after 32.2 °C 51 % 37 km/h 0.3 mm Very high 45
20 Jul after 31.6 °C 42 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm High 36
21 Jul after 31.6 °C 34 % 23 km/h 0.0 mm High 31

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 28.2, a minimum humidity of 33% and 15 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2022: 45.

FWI at the start 28.2
Minimum humidity 33 %
Days without rain 15
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Oleshky fire, August 2023
112 ha 1 day FWI 27.6 Min. humidity 34 % 85 km away, in 2023

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: 1.2 mm on 1 Sept.

What happened to them

2 days
median duration
275 ha
median area
9 %
went past 1,000 ha
4.6 mm
rain at the end (median; 34 of 45 had it)

It was 4.5 times larger than the median of its twins and lasted 10 days, against 2 days.

Only 2 of its 45 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 11 of 45, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 4.6 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
35km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 11 Jul, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain. Twins with rain when they ended: 34 of 45, with a median of 4.6 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2022.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 25 Jun 2024
After · 18 Jul 2024

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 9 July 2024 the air beside the fire reached 20 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 15: 1.0 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak20 µg/m³
Days over the guideline1 day
PM1027 µg/m³
Optical depth0.62
30 Jun3 Jul6 Jul9 Jul12 Jul
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 78Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Ukraine

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Holo Prystan fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 2 July 2024 to 11 July 2024 (10 days). The perimeter dates it from 6 July 2024 to 8 July 2024.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter Copernicus measured from satellite imagery is 1,236 hectares (12.4 km²). Official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Holo Prystan (1,237 ha, 0.6 %).
Did the fire reach a town?
The fire started in Holo Prystan and came within 28.9 km of its centre. That is the distance from the perimeter, or the nearest hotspot, to the point marking the centre; it does not mean it entered the houses.
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 36.3 °C, humidity dropped to 26 % and gusts hit 35 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 62, class Extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the EFFIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Ukraine (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2022 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 45. Their median duration was 2 days and their median area 275 ha; 9 % went past 1,000 ha. Only 2 of its 45 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 11 of 45, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 4.6 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Emergency number: 101 · 112 · Emergency number and official warnings

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 1 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Last day with fire: 9 July 2024 → 11 July 2024.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
What do you think is wrong?

We will only use your email to reply about this report. Privacy. This is not an emergency service: if there is a fire now, call 101 · 112.

How we know this
  • Perimeter: EFFIS (Copernicus), mapped on satellite imagery; 2 polygons grouped in this page.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 6 July 2024 to 8 July 2024. 78 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter and land cover come from the Copernicus European Forest Fire Information System (EFFIS), measured on MODIS and Sentinel-2 imagery and published under CC BY 4.0. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Public Domain). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ slightly from each country’s official figure.