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Holo Prystan fire, 10 July 2024 Скадовський район · Holo Prystan

Out · last detection 12 Jul 2024, 10:38 UTC

The fire started on 10 July 2024 in Holo Prystan, Ukraine, and satellites saw it burning for 3 days. Copernicus mapped a burnt perimeter of 313 hectares from satellite imagery, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 374th largest in Kherson Oblast since 2016 (of 1102 with a page). Number 552 in Ukraine in 2024, of 2092.

The power measured by the satellite is low (17.6 MW in the strongest hotspot), more typical of grass or stubble burning, or a slow surface fire, than of a large crown fire.

Burnt area
313ha
Copernicus perimeter
Duration
3days
10 Jul 2024 – 12 Jul 2024
Municipalities hit
1
districts
Started on
10 Jul
2024
Heat detections
18
in a single hotspot: 18 MW
Danger at start
48
Very high · FWI index
Average daily power
30MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 10 Jul12 Jul
12 Jul 2024

How it evolved, day by day

10 Jul 2024 · 61 MW · 14 11 Jul 2024 · 13 MW · 3 12 Jul 2024 · 18 MW · 1
10 Jul 11 Jul 12 Jul

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

36°high
34km/h · peak gust
26%lowest humidity

It had gone 23 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

76% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 237 ha in 2022, 2 ha in 2023.

What happened to each town

  1. Holo Prystan Скадовський район 127,000 inhabitants · 55.5 km from the centre where it started
    314 ha reached on 10 Jul
    0.1 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the official perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

What burned

  • Mixed forest49 %
  • Other natural land44 %
  • Coniferous forest6.5 %

Land cover inside the perimeter as reported by Copernicus EFFIS (outside the Corine Land Cover area).

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2025
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2025, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned. The GHSL 2025 epoch is a projection made from 2020 and earlier data.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
10 Jul 36.4 °C 26 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
11 Jul 35.0 °C 26 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 61
12 Jul 35.0 °C 29 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 56
13 Jul after 34.5 °C 21 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
14 Jul after 33.6 °C 30 % 21 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 47
15 Jul after 34.9 °C 39 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
16 Jul after 36.9 °C 31 % 37 km/h 0.1 mm Extreme 59
17 Jul after 35.7 °C 31 % 25 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
18 Jul after 34.3 °C 45 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm High 31
19 Jul after 32.2 °C 51 % 37 km/h 0.3 mm Very high 45
20 Jul after 31.6 °C 42 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm High 35
21 Jul after 31.6 °C 34 % 23 km/h 0.0 mm High 31
22 Jul after 30.5 °C 44 % 27 km/h 0.5 mm High 24

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 47.7, a minimum humidity of 26% and 23 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2022: 24.

FWI at the start 47.7
Minimum humidity 26 %
Days without rain 23
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Skadovsk fire, August 2026
131 ha 1 day FWI 47.2 Min. humidity 25 % 63 km away, in 2026

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: 1.9 mm on 19 Aug.

What happened to them

3 days
median duration
179 ha
median area
4 %
went past 1,000 ha
2.6 mm
rain at the end (median; 15 of 24 had it)

It was 1.7 times larger than the median of its twins and lasted 3 days, against 3 days.

Only 6 of its 24 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 9 of 24, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.6 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
34km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 12 Jul, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain. Twins with rain when they ended: 15 of 24, with a median of 2.6 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2022.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 3 Jul 2024
After · 19 Jul 2024

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 10 July 2024 the air beside the fire reached 19 µg/m³ of PM2.5, but no daily average passed the WHO guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak19 µg/m³
Days over the guideline0 days
PM1025 µg/m³
Optical depth0.48
8 Jul10 Jul12 Jul14 Jul
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 18Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Ukraine

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Holo Prystan fire last?
Copernicus dates it between 10 July 2024 and 12 July 2024: 3 days between the first and last image with fire.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter Copernicus measured from satellite imagery is 313 hectares (3.1 km²). Official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Holo Prystan (314 ha, 0.1 %).
Did the fire reach a town?
The fire started in Holo Prystan and came within 55.5 km of its centre. That is the distance from the perimeter, or the nearest hotspot, to the point marking the centre; it does not mean it entered the houses.
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 36.4 °C, humidity dropped to 26 % and gusts hit 34 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 61, class Extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the EFFIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Ukraine (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2022 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 24. Their median duration was 3 days and their median area 179 ha; 4 % went past 1,000 ha. Only 6 of its 24 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 9 of 24, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.6 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Emergency number: 101 · 112 · Emergency number and official warnings

Satellite cross-check

History of this page Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
What do you think is wrong?

We will only use your email to reply about this report. Privacy. This is not an emergency service: if there is a fire now, call 101 · 112.

How we know this
  • Perimeter: EFFIS (Copernicus), mapped on satellite imagery.
  • Dates from the perimeter: the VIIRS detections inside it did not change them. 18 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2025, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter and land cover come from the Copernicus European Forest Fire Information System (EFFIS), measured on MODIS and Sentinel-2 imagery and published under CC BY 4.0. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Public Domain). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ slightly from each country’s official figure.