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US · United States · –

Goose Creek Fire, July 2018 Box Elder, Elko

Out · last detection 7 Aug 2018, 20:33 UTC

The fire started on 26 July 2018 in Box Elder, United States, and satellites saw it burning for 13 days. United States agencies (MTBS / NIFC) mapped an official burnt perimeter of 53,236 hectares, spread across 2 counties.

It is the largest fire in Utah since 2016 (of 165 with a page). Number 8 in United States in 2018, of 511.

Burnt area
53,236ha
official perimeter (MTBS / NIFC)
Duration
≈ 13days
26 Jul 2018 – 7 Aug 2018
Counties hit
2
counties
Started on
26 Jul
2018
Heat detections
1,740
in a single hotspot: 671 MW
Danger at start
43
Very high · FWI index
Average daily power
6.1GW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 26 Jul7 Aug
7 Aug 2018

How it evolved, day by day

27 Jul 2018 · 668 MW · 56 28 Jul 2018 · 5,298 MW · 211 29 Jul 2018 · 36,029 MW · 1023 30 Jul 2018 · 6,568 MW · 250 31 Jul 2018 · 377 MW · 119 3 Aug 2018 · 1,358 MW · 16 4 Aug 2018 · 4,079 MW · 60 5 Aug 2018 · 30 MW · 2 7 Aug 2018 · 183 MW · 3
27 Jul 29 Jul 31 Jul 4 Aug 7 Aug

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

35°high
53km/h · peak gust
2%lowest humidity

It had gone 9 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started. Rain came after the fire: 1.9 mm on 17 Aug.

This area had burned before

No earlier perimeters overlap this fire since 2016, when the satellite record begins.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 34% of the area of London (532 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each county

  1. Box Elder where it started
    27,755 ha reached on 27 Jul
    1.6 %
  2. 25,743 ha reached on 27 Jul
    0.6 %

Burnt area inside each county, from crossing the official perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2020
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2020, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Started with Very dry air: 40 % of the area in United States

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
26 Jul 34.0 °C 10 % 32 km/h 1.1 mm Very high 43
27 Jul 35.2 °C 7 % 39 km/h 0.2 mm Very high 45
28 Jul 34.9 °C 7 % 47 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 62
29 Jul 34.2 °C 7 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
30 Jul 33.4 °C 2 % 20 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
31 Jul 32.9 °C 12 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 68
1 Aug 34.0 °C 12 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 54
2 Aug 31.2 °C 14 % 36 km/h 0.9 mm Extreme 62
3 Aug 31.5 °C 8 % 53 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 69
4 Aug 30.9 °C 7 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 58
5 Aug 29.1 °C 9 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 59
6 Aug 30.0 °C 5 % 23 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
7 Aug 32.3 °C 4 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
8 Aug after 33.6 °C 5 % 23 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
9 Aug after 34.5 °C 4 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 66
10 Aug after 35.0 °C 5 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 64
11 Aug after 35.7 °C 5 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 54
12 Aug after 30.7 °C 11 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 60
13 Aug after 32.6 °C 11 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
14 Aug after 32.6 °C 8 % 28 km/h 0.2 mm Very high 46
15 Aug after 30.3 °C 13 % 30 km/h 0.2 mm Very high 49
16 Aug after 30.3 °C 18 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 55
17 Aug after 30.2 °C 13 % 44 km/h 1.9 mm Very high 48

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 43.3, a minimum humidity of 10% and 9 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 18.

FWI at the start 43.3
Minimum humidity 10 %
Days without rain 9
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Badger Fire, September 2020
35,166 ha 27 days FWI 44.2 Min. humidity 10 % 69 km away, in 2020

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: 4.6 mm on 10 Oct.

What happened to them

3 days
median duration
1,048 ha
median area
56 %
went past 1,000 ha
2.7 mm
rain at the end (median; 13 of 18 had it)

It was 50.8 times larger than the median of its twins and lasted 13 days, against 3 days.

None of its 18 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 5 of 18, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.7 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

1.9 mmfirst rain
17 Aug10 days after it ended
53km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 7 Aug, and on 17 Aug 1.9 mm fell. We do not know whether the rain or the firefighters put it out. Twins with rain when they ended: 13 of 18, with a median of 2.7 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 19 Jul 2018
After · 14 Aug 2018

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

Detections table · 1,740Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in United States

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Goose Creek Fire last?
The official perimeter only gives the start date (26 July 2018). The end comes from the heat detections inside the perimeter: it burned until 7 August 2018 (13 days from 26 July 2018), the last day with detections before more than 10 days in a row without any, so it is approximate.
How much area did it burn?
The official perimeter published by United States agencies (MTBS / NIFC) is 53,236 hectares (532.4 km²). Other tallies, such as daily incident reports, may give slightly different figures.
Which counties burned?
The fire entered 2 counties: Box Elder (27,755 ha, 1.6 %); Elko (25,743 ha, 0.6 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 35.2 °C, humidity dropped to 2 % and gusts hit 53 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 69, class Extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the official burnt perimeter of United States agencies (MTBS / NIFC, public domain), NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of United States. It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 18. Their median duration was 3 days and their median area 1,048 ha; 56 % went past 1,000 ha. None of its 18 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 5 of 18, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.7 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Emergency number: 911 · Emergency number and official warnings

Satellite cross-check

History of this page Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
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We will only use your email to reply about this report. Privacy. This is not an emergency service: if there is a fire now, call 911.

How we know this
  • Perimeter: MTBS (US Geological Survey and US Forest Service), official.
  • The official perimeter has no end date: the end is the last day with VIIRS detections inside the perimeter before a gap of more than 10 days (150 days at most), so it is approximate. 1,740 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2020, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter is official and in the public domain. For past years it comes from MTBS (Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity), run by the U.S. Geological Survey and the USDA Forest Service, which map it on Landsat and Sentinel-2 imagery. For the current and last year it comes from WFIGS at the National Interagency Fire Center (NIFC): incident perimeters mapped by fire crews, aircraft and imagery. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. County boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Public Domain). The area per county is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ slightly from official figures.