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US · United States · –

Fish Creek Fire, October 2023 Greenlee

Out · last detection 2 Nov 2023, 21:03 UTC

The fire started on 26 October 2023 in Greenlee, United States, and satellites saw it burning for 8 days. United States agencies (MTBS / NIFC) mapped an official burnt perimeter of 1,256 hectares, spread across a single county.

It is the 185th largest in Arizona since 2016 (of 380 with a page). Number 134 in United States in 2023, of 305.

The power measured by the satellite is low (28.1 MW in the strongest hotspot), more typical of grass or stubble burning, or a slow surface fire, than of a large crown fire.

Burnt area
1,256ha
official perimeter (MTBS / NIFC)
Duration
≈ 8days
26 Oct 2023 – 2 Nov 2023
Counties hit
1
counties
Started on
26 Oct
2023
Heat detections
40
in a single hotspot: 28 MW
Danger at start
10
Low · FWI index
Average daily power
67MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 26 Oct2 Nov
2 Nov 2023

How it evolved, day by day

29 Oct 2023 · 5 MW · 1 30 Oct 2023 · 53 MW · 5 31 Oct 2023 · 59 MW · 10 1 Nov 2023 · 52 MW · 9 2 Nov 2023 · 168 MW · 15
29 Oct 30 Oct 31 Oct 1 Nov 2 Nov

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

18°high
63km/h · peak gust
14%lowest humidity

It had gone one day without rain (1 mm or more) when it started. Rain came after the fire: 2.7 mm on 10 Nov.

This area had burned before

0% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 3 ha in 2018, 1 ha in 2022. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 3 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 0.8% of the area of London (13 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each county

  1. Greenlee where it started
    1,261 ha reached on 29 Oct
    0.3 %

Burnt area inside each county, from crossing the official perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2025
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2025, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned. The GHSL 2025 epoch is a projection made from 2020 and earlier data.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
26 Oct 15.8 °C 34 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Low 10
27 Oct 16.8 °C 29 % 43 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 18
28 Oct 14.8 °C 33 % 63 km/h 0.0 mm High 26
29 Oct 11.0 °C 28 % 47 km/h 0.0 mm High 24
30 Oct 12.0 °C 30 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 16
31 Oct 13.0 °C 17 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm High 24
1 Nov 14.3 °C 15 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm High 26
2 Nov 17.5 °C 14 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm High 25
3 Nov after 18.9 °C 14 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm High 26
4 Nov after 19.8 °C 16 % 22 km/h 0.0 mm High 27
5 Nov after 19.0 °C 21 % 46 km/h 0.0 mm High 38
6 Nov after 18.6 °C 27 % 57 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
7 Nov after 17.8 °C 18 % 60 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44
8 Nov after 14.0 °C 24 % 54 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 38
9 Nov after 11.4 °C 18 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm High 31
10 Nov after 7.6 °C 42 % 35 km/h 2.7 mm Very low 4

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 9.5, a minimum humidity of 34% and 1 day without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 19.

FWI at the start 9.5
Minimum humidity 34 %
Days without rain 1
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Dove Fire, May 2017
5,414 ha 30 days FWI 6.0 Min. humidity 34 % 53 km away, in 2017

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

10 days
median duration
1,628 ha
median area
68 %
went past 1,000 ha
2.9 mm
rain at the end (median; 17 of 19 had it)

It burned an area similar to its twins (1,256 ha against a median of 1,628 ha) and lasted 8 days, against 10 days.

In 2 of 19, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.9 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

2.7 mmfirst rain
10 Nov8 days after it ended
63km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 2 Nov, and on 10 Nov 2.7 mm fell. We do not know whether the rain or the firefighters put it out. Twins with rain when they ended: 17 of 19, with a median of 2.9 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 19 Oct 2023
After · 9 Nov 2023

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 25 October 2023 the air beside the fire reached 12 µg/m³ of PM2.5, but no daily average passed the WHO guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak12 µg/m³
Days over the guideline0 days
PM1018 µg/m³
Optical depth0.23
24 Oct26 Oct28 Oct
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 40Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in United States

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Fish Creek Fire last?
The official perimeter only gives the start date (26 October 2023). The end comes from the heat detections inside the perimeter: it burned until 2 November 2023 (8 days from 26 October 2023), the last day with detections before more than 10 days in a row without any, so it is approximate.
How much area did it burn?
The official perimeter published by United States agencies (MTBS / NIFC) is 1,256 hectares (12.6 km²). Other tallies, such as daily incident reports, may give slightly different figures.
Which counties burned?
The fire only entered Greenlee (1,261 ha, 0.3 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 17.5 °C, humidity dropped to 14 % and gusts hit 63 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 26, class High.
Where does this data come from?
From the official burnt perimeter of United States agencies (MTBS / NIFC, public domain), NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of United States. It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 19. Their median duration was 10 days and their median area 1,628 ha; 68 % went past 1,000 ha. In 2 of 19, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.9 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Emergency number: 911 · Emergency number and official warnings

Satellite cross-check

History of this page Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
What do you think is wrong?

We will only use your email to reply about this report. Privacy. This is not an emergency service: if there is a fire now, call 911.

How we know this
  • Perimeter: MTBS (US Geological Survey and US Forest Service), official.
  • The official perimeter has no end date: the end is the last day with VIIRS detections inside the perimeter before a gap of more than 10 days (150 days at most), so it is approximate. 40 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2025, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter is official and in the public domain. For past years it comes from MTBS (Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity), run by the U.S. Geological Survey and the USDA Forest Service, which map it on Landsat and Sentinel-2 imagery. For the current and last year it comes from WFIGS at the National Interagency Fire Center (NIFC): incident perimeters mapped by fire crews, aircraft and imagery. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. County boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Public Domain). The area per county is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ slightly from official figures.