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GT · Guatemala · –

El Estor fire, 25 April 2024 El Estor, Lívingston

Out · last detection 31 May 2024, 07:36 UTC

The fire started on 25 April 2024 in El Estor, Guatemala, and satellites saw it burning for 37 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 6,328 hectares from heat detections, spread across 2 municipalities.

It is the largest fire in Izabal since 2016 (of 16 with a page). The largest in Guatemala in 2024, of 70.

Burnt area
6,328ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
37days
25 Apr 2024 – 31 May 2024
Municipalities hit
2
municipalities
Started on
25 Apr
2024
Heat detections
505
in a single hotspot: 58 MW
Danger at start
5
Very low · FWI index
Average daily power
97MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 25 Apr31 May
31 May 2024

How it evolved, day by day

27 Apr 2024 · 51 MW · 4 28 Apr 2024 · 22 MW · 2 29 Apr 2024 · 273 MW · 9 30 Apr 2024 · 20 MW · 15 1 May 2024 · 9 MW · 1 2 May 2024 · 42 MW · 4 4 May 2024 · 25 MW · 15 5 May 2024 · 13 MW · 7 6 May 2024 · 83 MW · 10 7 May 2024 · 107 MW · 26 8 May 2024 · 29 MW · 16 9 May 2024 · 2 MW · 1 10 May 2024 · 36 MW · 11 11 May 2024 · 5 MW · 1 12 May 2024 · 13 MW · 5 13 May 2024 · 68 MW · 13 14 May 2024 · 434 MW · 34 15 May 2024 · 263 MW · 59 16 May 2024 · 13 MW · 14 17 May 2024 · 848 MW · 92 18 May 2024 · 619 MW · 76 19 May 2024 · 10 MW · 1 20 May 2024 · 3 MW · 1 21 May 2024 · 5 MW · 3 22 May 2024 · 55 MW · 13 23 May 2024 · 8 MW · 2 24 May 2024 · 2 MW · 2 25 May 2024 · 11 MW · 7 26 May 2024 · 49 MW · 10 27 May 2024 · 44 MW · 10 28 May 2024 · 32 MW · 9 29 May 2024 · 49 MW · 6 30 May 2024 · 43 MW · 11 31 May 2024 · 20 MW · 15
27 Apr 5 May 12 May 17 May 26 May

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

35°high
45km/h · peak gust
31%lowest humidity

It had gone 0 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started. Rain came after the fire: 2.2 mm on 1 Jun.

This area had burned before

16% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 1,020 ha in 2018.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 4% of the area of London (63 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. El Estor 15,842 inhabitants where it started
    6,823 ha reached on 27 Apr
    4.3 %
  2. Lívingston 61,580 inhabitants
    386 ha reached on 27 Apr
    0.2 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
25 Apr 27.8 °C 55 % 38 km/h 1.9 mm Very low 5
26 Apr 29.5 °C 40 % 45 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 14
27 Apr 30.2 °C 53 % 37 km/h 0.2 mm Moderate 14
28 Apr 31.4 °C 47 % 35 km/h 0.8 mm Moderate 13
29 Apr 33.5 °C 40 % 30 km/h 1.0 mm Moderate 13
30 Apr 32.9 °C 44 % 29 km/h 2.6 mm Low 5
1 May 31.1 °C 48 % 37 km/h 1.1 mm Low 8
2 May 31.0 °C 42 % 35 km/h 0.1 mm Moderate 16
3 May 30.6 °C 42 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 18
4 May 31.1 °C 39 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 20
5 May 32.3 °C 37 % 36 km/h 0.1 mm Moderate 21
6 May 32.7 °C 44 % 34 km/h 0.1 mm Moderate 21
7 May 33.0 °C 38 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm High 22
8 May 32.9 °C 42 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm High 23
9 May 33.4 °C 39 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 20
10 May 33.6 °C 39 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 21
11 May 32.0 °C 48 % 32 km/h 0.1 mm Moderate 20
12 May 32.9 °C 45 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm High 24
13 May 34.2 °C 36 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm High 26
14 May 34.4 °C 36 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm High 26
15 May 33.6 °C 38 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm High 24
16 May 32.2 °C 41 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm High 24
17 May 35.1 °C 31 % 41 km/h 0.6 mm High 30
18 May 34.1 °C 36 % 31 km/h 0.6 mm High 27
19 May 32.7 °C 37 % 27 km/h 3.2 mm Moderate 21
20 May 32.2 °C 41 % 32 km/h 2.5 mm Very low 4
21 May 32.9 °C 40 % 37 km/h 0.1 mm Moderate 15
22 May 31.4 °C 45 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 21
23 May 31.8 °C 40 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm High 22
24 May 34.2 °C 35 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm High 21
25 May 34.4 °C 36 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm High 22
26 May 35.0 °C 34 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm High 24
27 May 34.3 °C 39 % 36 km/h 0.1 mm High 24
28 May 32.7 °C 45 % 40 km/h 1.5 mm High 26
29 May 30.6 °C 48 % 42 km/h 1.5 mm Low 6
30 May 29.8 °C 50 % 43 km/h 1.4 mm Moderate 14
31 May 30.0 °C 50 % 41 km/h 2.9 mm Low 10
1 Jun after 29.7 °C 50 % 43 km/h 2.2 mm Low 6

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 4.7, a minimum humidity of 55% and rain the day before. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 27.

FWI at the start 4.7
Minimum humidity 55 %
Days without rain 0
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

El Estor fire, May 2022
1,254 ha 13 days FWI 3.6 Min. humidity 55 % 11 km away, in 2022

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: 2.0 mm on 20 May.

What happened to them

9 days
median duration
1,125 ha
median area
100 %
went past 1,000 ha
3.3 mm
rain at the end (median; 27 of 27 had it)

It was 5.6 times larger than the median of its twins and lasted 37 days, against 9 days.

Only 1 of its 27 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. All of them had rain in the ten days after the end: the first rainy day brought a median of 3.3 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

2.2 mmfirst rain
1 Junthe day after it ended
45km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 31 May, and on 1 Jun 2.2 mm fell. We do not know whether the rain or the firefighters put it out. Twins with rain when they ended: 27 of 27, with a median of 3.3 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 18 Apr 2024
After · 7 Jun 2024

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 16 May 2024 the air beside the fire reached 105 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 73: 4.8 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak105 µg/m³
Days over the guideline25 days
PM10151 µg/m³
Optical depth2.34
30 Apr6 May12 May18 May24 May
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 505Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Guatemala

Frequently asked questions

How long did the El Estor fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 25 April 2024 to 31 May 2024 (37 days). The perimeter dates it from 2 May 2024 to 25 May 2024.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 6,328 hectares (63.3 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire entered 2 municipalities: El Estor (6,823 ha, 4.3 %); Lívingston (386 ha, 0.2 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 35.1 °C, humidity dropped to 31 % and gusts hit 45 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 30, class High.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Guatemala (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 27. Their median duration was 9 days and their median area 1,125 ha; 100 % went past 1,000 ha. Only 1 of its 27 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. All of them had rain in the ten days after the end: the first rainy day brought a median of 3.3 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Emergency number: 122 · 123 · 1566 · Emergency number and official warnings

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 7 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Area: 7,161 → 6,328 ha.
  2. Last day with fire: 25 May 2024 → 31 May 2024.
  3. Start date: 2 May 2024 → 25 April 2024.
  4. Last day with fire: 29 May 2024 → 25 May 2024.
  5. Start date: 25 April 2024 → 2 May 2024.
  6. Last day with fire: 25 May 2024 → 29 May 2024.
  7. Start date: 2 May 2024 → 25 April 2024.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
What do you think is wrong?

We will only use your email to reply about this report. Privacy. This is not an emergency service: if there is a fire now, call 122 · 123 · 1566.

How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery; 2 polygons grouped in this page.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 2 May 2024 to 25 May 2024. 505 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.