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ZA · South Africa · –

Dr JS Moroka fire, September 2022 Dr JS Moroka, City of Tshwane

Out · last detection 19 Sept 2022, 11:48 UTC

The fire started on 17 September 2022 in Dr JS Moroka, South Africa, and satellites saw it burning for 3 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 3,318 hectares from heat detections, spread across 2 municipalities.

It is the 64th largest in Mpumalanga since 2016 (of 182 with a page). Number 62 in South Africa in 2022, of 143.

Burnt area
3,318ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
3days
17 Sept 2022 – 19 Sept 2022
Municipalities hit
2
municipalities
Started on
17 Sept
2022
Heat detections
84
in a single hotspot: 49 MW
Danger at start
43
Very high · FWI index
Average daily power
316MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 17 Sept19 Sept
19 Sept 2022

How it evolved, day by day

17 Sept 2022 · 2 MW · 2 18 Sept 2022 · 923 MW · 79 19 Sept 2022 · 23 MW · 3
17 Sept 18 Sept 19 Sept

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

34°high
55km/h · peak gust
7%lowest humidity

It had gone 44 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started. Rain came after the fire: 2.9 mm on 20 Sept.

This area had burned before

74% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 1,365 ha in 2017, 2,278 ha in 2019, 383 ha in 2021. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 2,453 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 2.1% of the area of London (33 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Dr JS Moroka where it started
    3,094 ha reached on 17 Sept
    2.2 %
  2. 241 ha reached on 18 Sept
    0.0 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2020
Built-up area0.70 ha
Residents≈ 20

Inside the perimeter there were about 0.70 hectares of built-up land and about 20 residents (GHSL 2020, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Started with Very dry air: 37 % of the area in South Africa

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
17 Sept 31.3 °C 10 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 43
18 Sept 32.3 °C 7 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 55
19 Sept 33.6 °C 13 % 55 km/h 0.1 mm Extreme 69
20 Sept after 25.8 °C 32 % 42 km/h 2.9 mm Moderate 13

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 43.1, a minimum humidity of 10% and 44 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 24.

FWI at the start 43.1
Minimum humidity 10 %
Days without rain 44
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Bela-Bela fire, September 2022
3,017 ha 3 days FWI 44.8 Min. humidity 10 % 19 km away, in 2022

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

4 days
median duration
3,010 ha
median area
100 %
went past 1,000 ha
2.2 mm
rain at the end (median; 3 of 24 had it)

It burned an area similar to its twins (3,318 ha against a median of 3,010 ha) and lasted 3 days, against 4 days.

In 21 of 24, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.2 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

2.9 mmfirst rain
20 Septthe day after it ended
55km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 19 Sept, and on 20 Sept 2.9 mm fell. We do not know whether the rain or the firefighters put it out. Twins with rain when they ended: 3 of 24, with a median of 2.2 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 10 Sept 2022
After · 26 Sept 2022

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 20 September 2022 the air beside the fire reached 79 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 42: 2.8 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak79 µg/m³
Days over the guideline7 days
PM10113 µg/m³
Optical depth1.23
16 Sept18 Sept20 Sept22 Sept
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 84Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in South Africa

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Dr JS Moroka fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 17 September 2022 to 19 September 2022 (3 days). The perimeter dates it from 18 September 2022 to 19 September 2022.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 3,318 hectares (33.2 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire entered 2 municipalities: Dr JS Moroka (3,094 ha, 2.2 %); City of Tshwane (241 ha, 0.0 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 33.6 °C, humidity dropped to 7 % and gusts hit 55 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 69, class Extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of South Africa (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 24. Their median duration was 4 days and their median area 3,010 ha; 100 % went past 1,000 ha. In 21 of 24, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.2 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Emergency number: 10177 · 112 · Emergency number and official warnings

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 1 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Start date: 18 September 2022 → 17 September 2022.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
What do you think is wrong?

We will only use your email to reply about this report. Privacy. This is not an emergency service: if there is a fire now, call 10177 · 112.

How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 18 September 2022 to 19 September 2022. 84 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2020, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM3 (Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.