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MK · North Macedonia · –

Demir Hisar fire, October 2023 Општина Демир Хисар/Мургашево · Demir Hisar, Krushevo

Out · last detection 10 Oct 2023, 00:05 UTC

The fire started on 7 October 2023 in Demir Hisar, North Macedonia, and satellites saw it burning for 4 days. Copernicus mapped a burnt perimeter of 172 hectares from satellite imagery, spread across 2 municipalities.

It is the 57th largest in Pelagonia since 2016 (of 76 with a page). Number 17 in North Macedonia in 2023, of 19.

The power measured by the satellite is low (12.4 MW in the strongest hotspot), more typical of grass or stubble burning, or a slow surface fire, than of a large crown fire.

Burnt area
172ha
Copernicus perimeter
Duration
4days
7 Oct 2023 – 10 Oct 2023
Municipalities hit
2
municipalities
Started on
7 Oct
2023
Heat detections
4
in a single hotspot: 12 MW
Danger at start
10
Low · FWI index
Average daily power
8MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 7 Oct10 Oct
10 Oct 2023

How it evolved, day by day

8 Oct 2023 · 16 MW · 3 10 Oct 2023 · 1 MW · 1
8 Oct 10 Oct

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

24°high
26km/h · peak gust
30%lowest humidity

It had gone 0 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started. Rain came after the fire: 1.3 mm on 16 Oct.

This area had burned before

No earlier perimeters overlap this fire since 2016, when the satellite record begins.

What happened to each town

  1. Demir Hisar Општина Демир Хисар/Мургашево 7,260 inhabitants · 8.2 km from the centre where it started
    109 ha reached on 8 Oct
    0.2 %
  2. Krushevo Општина Крушево 8,385 inhabitants · 12.0 km from the centre
    64 ha reached on 8 Oct
    0.3 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the official perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

What burned

  • Agricultural areas79 %
  • Scrub and transitional woodland19 %
  • Broadleaved forest2.3 %

Land cover inside the perimeter according to Corine Land Cover, as reported by Copernicus.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2025
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2025, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned. The GHSL 2025 epoch is a projection made from 2020 and earlier data.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
7 Oct 22.1 °C 33 % 15 km/h 0.0 mm Low 10
8 Oct 24.3 °C 30 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 19
9 Oct 22.7 °C 33 % 24 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 20
10 Oct 22.3 °C 38 % 23 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 18
11 Oct after 20.1 °C 43 % 23 km/h 0.1 mm Moderate 17
12 Oct after 22.7 °C 31 % 15 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 16
13 Oct after 24.4 °C 33 % 16 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 16
14 Oct after 24.6 °C 34 % 21 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 19
15 Oct after 24.2 °C 30 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 21
16 Oct after 13.7 °C 44 % 31 km/h 1.3 mm Low 9

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 10.0, a minimum humidity of 33% and rain the day before. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 29.

FWI at the start 10.0
Minimum humidity 33 %
Days without rain 0
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Bulqizë fire, July 2017
103 ha 5 days FWI 10.6 Min. humidity 32 % 95 km away, in 2017

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: 2.3 mm on 26 Jul.

What happened to them

3 days
median duration
140 ha
median area
3 %
went past 1,000 ha
4.9 mm
rain at the end (median; 23 of 29 had it)

It burned an area similar to its twins (172 ha against a median of 140 ha) and lasted 4 days, against 3 days.

In 6 of 29, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 4.9 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

1.3 mmfirst rain
16 Oct6 days after it ended
26km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 10 Oct, and on 16 Oct 1.3 mm fell. We do not know whether the rain or the firefighters put it out. Twins with rain when they ended: 23 of 29, with a median of 4.9 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 30 Sept 2023
After · 17 Oct 2023

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 10 October 2023 the air beside the fire reached 17 µg/m³ of PM2.5, but no daily average passed the WHO guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak17 µg/m³
Days over the guideline0 days
PM1036 µg/m³
Optical depth0.27
5 Oct7 Oct9 Oct11 Oct13 Oct
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 4Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in North Macedonia

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Demir Hisar fire last?
Copernicus dates it between 7 October 2023 and 10 October 2023: 4 days between the first and last image with fire.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter Copernicus measured from satellite imagery is 172 hectares (1.7 km²). Official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire entered 2 municipalities: Demir Hisar (109 ha, 0.2 %); Krushevo (64 ha, 0.3 %).
Did the fire reach a town?
The fire started in Demir Hisar and came within 8.2 km of its centre. That is the distance from the perimeter, or the nearest hotspot, to the point marking the centre; it does not mean it entered the houses.
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 24.3 °C, humidity dropped to 30 % and gusts hit 26 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 20, class Moderate.
Where does this data come from?
From the EFFIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of North Macedonia (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 29. Their median duration was 3 days and their median area 140 ha; 3 % went past 1,000 ha. In 6 of 29, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 4.9 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Emergency number: 193 · 112 · Emergency number and official warnings

Satellite cross-check

History of this page Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
What do you think is wrong?

We will only use your email to reply about this report. Privacy. This is not an emergency service: if there is a fire now, call 193 · 112.

How we know this
  • Perimeter: EFFIS (Copernicus), mapped on satellite imagery.
  • Dates from the perimeter: the VIIRS detections inside it did not change them. 4 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2025, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter and land cover come from the Copernicus European Forest Fire Information System (EFFIS), measured on MODIS and Sentinel-2 imagery and published under CC BY 4.0. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ slightly from each country’s official figure.