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AU · Australia · –

Croydon fire, 4 November 2026 Croydon, Etheridge

Dying down · last detection 14 Nov 2026, 16:02 UTC

The fire started on 4 November 2026 in Croydon, Australia, and satellites saw it burning for 11 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 23,488 hectares from heat detections, spread across 2 municipalities.

This entry is probably a savanna fire in Australia’s tropical north, not a bushfire like those in the south of the country. Millions of hectares of northern savanna and grassland burn every year: much of it in burns lit on purpose early in the dry season (traditional fire management, parks and cattle stations), the rest in grass fires that return to the same ground every few years. This is our assumption, based on the location; it is not confirmed. That is why it is left out of the wildfire rankings.

GWIS near-real-time perimeter, from the layer that changed in October 2025: this fire is not compared with fires from earlier years, because since then the GWIS layer gives more and larger perimeters.

Is it still active?

No detections since 14 Nov 2026, 16:02 UTC. That usually means no flame is visible from space any more, although hotspots may remain. Satellites pass a few times a day and cloud or smoke can hide the fire: a lack of detections is not an official extinction. Each country’s emergency service declares a fire contained or out.

Wind, humidity and rain for the next 72 h

Burnt area
23,488ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
11days
4 Nov 2026 – 14 Nov 2026
Municipalities hit
2
local government areas
Started on
4 Nov
2026
Heat detections
457
in a single hotspot: 83 MW
Danger at start
12
Moderate · FWI index
Average daily power
417MW
detected power per day, on average

The next 72 hours

The wind is blowing from the north-east and pushing to the south-west; no sharp shifts are expected until Wed 18, 22:00.

ECMWF IFS 0.25° at the centre of the fire · computed 15 Nov 2026, 13:24 UTC

Tue 17, 20:00, local time

First useful rain: 2.1 mm in 6 h

Chance of rain up to 41 % in those hours. It can slow the fire at the surface, but that does not mean it will go out.

Checked, no warning: no wind shifts of more than 60° nights recover humidity (peaks of 86 % or more)

Hour by hour, local time

Tap the strip to see each hour

Mean wind Gusts where it blows to Relative humidity Night (8 pm to 8 am) Rain (mm) · chance in %

Where is it blowing? The next 48 h

geoBoundaries/Australian Bureau of Statistics (Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0))

At this hour

Places the fan reaches

    Is it heading my way?

    We compare your point with the fan for each hour. Your location never leaves your device.

    or tap the map

    This is not an official warning. It is a global model forecast with cells of about 25 km, at the centre of the fire: it cannot see valley winds or the winds the fire itself creates. The fan shows where the wind blows, not where the fire will spread. If in doubt, follow what the authorities say.

    Emergencies · Australia 000 Emergency number and official warnings

    Forecast: ECMWF IFS 0.25° (European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts), served by our own Open-Meteo instance; the chance of rain comes from the ECMWF ensemble. Variables: wind and gusts at 10 m, wind at 850 hPa, relative humidity and temperature at 2 m, rain. Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0).

    Fire: GWIS / Copernicus (reconstructed from VIIRS) (CC BY 4.0); hotspots from the last 24 h: VIIRS from NASA FIRMS. Boundaries: geoBoundaries/Australian Bureau of Statistics (Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0)).

    How it is worked out: wind shift = a change of more than 60° in 6 h or less, with at least 15 km/h before and after; no overnight recovery = peak humidity between 8 pm and 8 am stays below 55 %; useful rain = 2 mm or more in 6 h. The fan opens 18° plus however much the wind varies within ±3 h and reaches 25 km beyond the edge of the fire: one model cell, not a rate of spread. Methodology

    Where it burned

    HOTSPOTS BY DAY 4 Nov14 Nov
    14 Nov 2026

    How it evolved, day by day

    4 Nov 2026 · 124 MW · 19 6 Nov 2026 · 16 MW · 8 8 Nov 2026 · 0 MW · 0 9 Nov 2026 · 157 MW · 35 10 Nov 2026 · 128 MW · 19 11 Nov 2026 · 469 MW · 59 12 Nov 2026 · 1,288 MW · 165 13 Nov 2026 · 1,006 MW · 119 14 Nov 2026 · 149 MW · 33
    4 Nov 8 Nov 10 Nov 12 Nov 14 Nov

    Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

    Fire front film How it spread from one satellite pass to the next (28 passes) and with what wind. Watch the film

    The weather it burned in

    39°high
    37km/h · peak gust
    19%lowest humidity

    It had gone 0 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

    This area had burned before

    60% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 565 ha in 2016, 1,659 ha in 2017, 3,922 ha in 2019, 1,998 ha in 2020, 4,575 ha in 2021, 477 ha in 2022, 3,955 ha in 2023, 4,921 ha in 2024, 2,029 ha in 2025. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 13,999 ha that had burned before.

    How big is it?

    10 km
    It burned the equivalent of 15% of the area of London (235 km² against 1,583 km²).

    London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

    This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

    What happened to each town

    1. Croydon where it started
      23,144 ha
      0.8 %
    2. 431 ha
      0.0 %

    Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

    The weather day by day

    ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

    Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · forecast models, provisional until the ERA5 reanalysis arrives

    Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
    4 Nov 36.6 °C 37 % 21 km/h 0.2 mm Moderate 12
    5 Nov 34.1 °C 54 % 26 km/h 3.3 mm Low 7
    6 Nov 35.2 °C 37 % 27 km/h 1.9 mm Low 9
    7 Nov 35.9 °C 34 % 36 km/h 2.7 mm Low 10
    8 Nov 38.4 °C 22 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm Low 10
    9 Nov 38.6 °C 23 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm High 22
    10 Nov 37.0 °C 30 % 30 km/h 0.3 mm High 23
    11 Nov 37.5 °C 27 % 31 km/h 1.5 mm Moderate 17
    12 Nov 38.7 °C 21 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm High 28
    13 Nov 39.0 °C 19 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm High 32
    14 Nov 37.4 °C 31 % 37 km/h 1.3 mm High 32

    Before and after, from space

    Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

    Before · 28 Oct 2026
    After · 14 Nov 2026

    If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

    The smoke

    CAMS · Copernicus

    On 10 November 2026 the air beside the fire reached 54 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 30: 2.0 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

    PM2.5 peak54 µg/m³
    Days over the guideline4 days
    PM1056 µg/m³
    Optical depth0.68
    2 Nov5 Nov8 Nov11 Nov
    Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

    Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

    Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

    Detections table · 457Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
    ⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
    Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

    Other fires nearby

    All fires in Australia

    Frequently asked questions

    How long did the Croydon fire last?
    According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 4 November 2026 to 14 November 2026 (11 days). The perimeter dates it from 8 November 2026 to 14 November 2026.
    How much area did it burn?
    The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 23,488 hectares (234.9 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
    Which municipalities burned?
    The fire entered 2 municipalities: Croydon (23,144 ha, 0.8 %); Etheridge (431 ha, 0.0 %).
    Is the Croydon fire still active?
    No fire detections since 14 Nov 2026, 16:02 UTC. A lack of detections is not an official extinction.
    What was the weather like?
    During the fire the temperature reached 39.0 °C, humidity dropped to 19 % and gusts hit 37 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 32, class High.
    What weather is expected at the fire over the next 72 hours?
    The wind is blowing from the north-east and pushing to the south-west; no sharp shifts are expected until Wed 18, 22:00. First useful rain: 2.1 mm in 6 h (Tue 17, 20:00). Times are local time at the fire. ECMWF IFS forecast (Open-Meteo) computed 15 Nov 2026, 13:24 UTC; this is not an official warning.
    Where does this data come from?
    From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Australia (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.

    Where to verify it

    A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

    Emergency number: 000 · Emergency number and official warnings

    Satellite cross-check

    History of this page · 1 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 14 November 2026.
    1. Page published (19,941 ha).

    RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

    Does something look wrong on this page?

    This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

    Report an error
    What do you think is wrong?

    We will only use your email to reply about this report. Privacy. This is not an emergency service: if there is a fire now, call 000.

    How we know this
    • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
    • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 8 November 2026 to 14 November 2026. 457 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
    • We have not matched this page with any official record.
    • Weather: ECMWF IFS model, provisional until the ERA5 reanalysis arrives.
    • Probably a vegetation burn: not counted in the totals.

    How we build fire pages: methodology

    Where this data comes from

    The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.