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US · United States · –

Creek Fire, September 2020 Fresno, Madera

Out · last detection 6 Nov 2020, 08:59 UTC

The fire started on 5 September 2020 in Fresno, United States, and satellites saw it burning for 63 days. United States agencies (MTBS / NIFC) mapped an official burnt perimeter of 154,872 hectares, spread across 2 counties.

It is the 6th largest in California since 2016 (of 442 with a page). Number 3 in United States in 2020, of 441.

Compare with…
Burnt area
154,872ha
official perimeter (MTBS / NIFC)
Duration
≈ 63days
5 Sept 2020 – 6 Nov 2020
Counties hit
2
counties
Started on
5 Sept
2020
Heat detections
39,606
in a single hotspot: 1,811 MW
Danger at start
41
Very high · FWI index
Average daily power
10.6GW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 5 Sept6 Nov
6 Nov 2020

How it evolved, day by day

5 Sept 2020 · 36,644 MW · 393 6 Sept 2020 · 35,098 MW · 1998 7 Sept 2020 · 80,761 MW · 2306 8 Sept 2020 · 53,552 MW · 3006 9 Sept 2020 · 25,478 MW · 1775 10 Sept 2020 · 15,310 MW · 1120 11 Sept 2020 · 12,974 MW · 1225 12 Sept 2020 · 17,834 MW · 1079 13 Sept 2020 · 26,846 MW · 1125 14 Sept 2020 · 28,002 MW · 2105 15 Sept 2020 · 19,783 MW · 1283 16 Sept 2020 · 48,008 MW · 1493 17 Sept 2020 · 21,513 MW · 1525 18 Sept 2020 · 56 MW · 4 19 Sept 2020 · 2,165 MW · 420 20 Sept 2020 · 11,375 MW · 567 21 Sept 2020 · 22,135 MW · 1037 22 Sept 2020 · 11,483 MW · 1223 23 Sept 2020 · 5,150 MW · 772 24 Sept 2020 · 3,134 MW · 611 25 Sept 2020 · 3,200 MW · 427 26 Sept 2020 · 1,939 MW · 385 27 Sept 2020 · 3,912 MW · 558 28 Sept 2020 · 7,203 MW · 673 29 Sept 2020 · 3,661 MW · 389 30 Sept 2020 · 1,955 MW · 372 1 Oct 2020 · 4,508 MW · 450 2 Oct 2020 · 4,217 MW · 477 3 Oct 2020 · 5,509 MW · 548 4 Oct 2020 · 8,879 MW · 574 5 Oct 2020 · 12,122 MW · 843 6 Oct 2020 · 4,558 MW · 463 7 Oct 2020 · 5,482 MW · 489 8 Oct 2020 · 916 MW · 283 9 Oct 2020 · 542 MW · 125 10 Oct 2020 · 133 MW · 79 11 Oct 2020 · 4,474 MW · 135 12 Oct 2020 · 16,882 MW · 247 13 Oct 2020 · 5,268 MW · 316 14 Oct 2020 · 8,222 MW · 320 15 Oct 2020 · 9,582 MW · 432 16 Oct 2020 · 10,441 MW · 457 17 Oct 2020 · 3,318 MW · 304 18 Oct 2020 · 4,529 MW · 306 19 Oct 2020 · 8,674 MW · 429 20 Oct 2020 · 8,560 MW · 426 21 Oct 2020 · 9,219 MW · 455 22 Oct 2020 · 3,009 MW · 363 23 Oct 2020 · 4,548 MW · 324 24 Oct 2020 · 3,376 MW · 367 25 Oct 2020 · 1,548 MW · 226 26 Oct 2020 · 8,345 MW · 627 27 Oct 2020 · 4,348 MW · 436 28 Oct 2020 · 2,511 MW · 268 29 Oct 2020 · 1,750 MW · 276 30 Oct 2020 · 917 MW · 147 31 Oct 2020 · 576 MW · 57 1 Nov 2020 · 139 MW · 71 2 Nov 2020 · 383 MW · 83 3 Nov 2020 · 618 MW · 126 4 Nov 2020 · 1,274 MW · 115 5 Nov 2020 · 465 MW · 69 6 Nov 2020 · 63 MW · 22
7 Sept 18 Sept 1 Oct 14 Oct 27 Oct

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

33°high
60km/h · peak gust
4%lowest humidity

It had gone 11 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started. Rain came after the fire: 3.6 mm on 7 Nov.

This area had burned before

0% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 124 ha in 2017, 382 ha in 2018.

How big is it?

20 km
It burned almost the same area as London (1,549 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each county

  1. Fresno where it started
    79,000 ha reached on 5 Sept
    5.1 %
  2. 76,733 ha reached on 5 Sept
    14 %

Burnt area inside each county, from crossing the official perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2020
Built-up area45 ha
Residents≈ 1,300

Inside the perimeter there were about 45 hectares of built-up land and about 1,300 residents (GHSL 2020, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Started with Very dry air: 41 % of the area in United States

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
5 Sept 31.8 °C 14 % 43 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
6 Sept 32.6 °C 11 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 43
7 Sept 30.5 °C 12 % 54 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
8 Sept 29.0 °C 6 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44
9 Sept 24.0 °C 12 % 43 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 47
10 Sept 20.9 °C 23 % 45 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 39
11 Sept 22.8 °C 20 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm High 37
12 Sept 25.6 °C 20 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm High 36
13 Sept 27.1 °C 14 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 39
14 Sept 26.3 °C 14 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
15 Sept 25.9 °C 17 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
16 Sept 26.5 °C 14 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
17 Sept 25.0 °C 13 % 38 km/h 0.6 mm High 36
18 Sept 21.4 °C 36 % 53 km/h 1.1 mm Moderate 19
19 Sept 23.7 °C 22 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm High 27
20 Sept 25.4 °C 22 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm High 31
21 Sept 25.0 °C 15 % 45 km/h 0.0 mm High 38
22 Sept 25.1 °C 14 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 38
23 Sept 26.2 °C 14 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm High 37
24 Sept 25.4 °C 13 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm High 38
25 Sept 25.3 °C 17 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm High 38
26 Sept 25.7 °C 21 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm High 37
27 Sept 28.2 °C 22 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
28 Sept 27.4 °C 12 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44
29 Sept 27.4 °C 19 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
30 Sept 27.4 °C 19 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 39
1 Oct 28.1 °C 15 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
2 Oct 27.8 °C 15 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
3 Oct 27.2 °C 13 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
4 Oct 26.8 °C 7 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
5 Oct 26.8 °C 6 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
6 Oct 25.2 °C 13 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44
7 Oct 23.8 °C 18 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
8 Oct 20.5 °C 23 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm High 35
9 Oct 20.7 °C 26 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm High 33
10 Oct 19.8 °C 24 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm High 33
11 Oct 21.9 °C 24 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm High 32
12 Oct 24.1 °C 21 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm High 32
13 Oct 25.0 °C 14 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm High 35
14 Oct 26.7 °C 14 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm High 36
15 Oct 26.6 °C 16 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm High 37
16 Oct 25.6 °C 16 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
17 Oct 25.9 °C 17 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 38
18 Oct 24.4 °C 20 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 38
19 Oct 24.4 °C 14 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm High 38
20 Oct 24.1 °C 14 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm High 38
21 Oct 23.3 °C 15 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 38
22 Oct 21.6 °C 15 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm High 38
23 Oct 19.7 °C 24 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm High 34
24 Oct 18.7 °C 20 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm High 34
25 Oct 13.5 °C 43 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm High 27
26 Oct 12.9 °C 5 % 59 km/h 0.0 mm High 37
27 Oct 18.1 °C 23 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm High 34
28 Oct 21.6 °C 9 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
29 Oct 20.6 °C 9 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
30 Oct 19.8 °C 11 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm High 38
31 Oct 21.7 °C 9 % 29 km/h 0.0 mm High 38
1 Nov 21.4 °C 7 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
2 Nov 21.0 °C 4 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
3 Nov 20.1 °C 10 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
4 Nov 22.1 °C 15 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 38
5 Nov 21.5 °C 14 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 39
6 Nov 15.2 °C 14 % 60 km/h 8.8 mm Very low 5
7 Nov after 1.9 °C 64 % 32 km/h 3.6 mm Very low 0

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 41.3, a minimum humidity of 14% and 11 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 27.

FWI at the start 41.3
Minimum humidity 14 %
Days without rain 11
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Five Fire, May 2020
824 ha 1 day FWI 38.8 Min. humidity 14 % 161 km away, in 2020

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

3 days
median duration
1,227 ha
median area
59 %
went past 1,000 ha
3.1 mm
rain at the end (median; 10 of 27 had it)

It was 126.2 times larger than the median of its twins and lasted 63 days, against 3 days.

None of its 27 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 17 of 27, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 3.1 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

3.6 mmfirst rain
7 Novthe day after it ended
60km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 6 Nov, and on 7 Nov 3.6 mm fell. We do not know whether the rain or the firefighters put it out. Twins with rain when they ended: 10 of 27, with a median of 3.1 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 29 Aug 2020
After · 13 Nov 2020

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

Detections table · 39,606Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in United States

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Creek Fire last?
The official perimeter only gives the start date (5 September 2020). The end comes from the heat detections inside the perimeter: it burned until 6 November 2020 (63 days from 5 September 2020), the last day with detections before more than 10 days in a row without any, so it is approximate.
How much area did it burn?
The official perimeter published by United States agencies (MTBS / NIFC) is 154,872 hectares (1,548.7 km²). Other tallies, such as daily incident reports, may give slightly different figures.
Which counties burned?
The fire entered 2 counties: Fresno (79,000 ha, 5.1 %); Madera (76,733 ha, 14 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 32.6 °C, humidity dropped to 4 % and gusts hit 60 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 49, class Very high.
Where does this data come from?
From the official burnt perimeter of United States agencies (MTBS / NIFC, public domain), NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of United States. It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 27. Their median duration was 3 days and their median area 1,227 ha; 59 % went past 1,000 ha. None of its 27 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 17 of 27, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 3.1 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Emergency number: 911 · Emergency number and official warnings

Satellite cross-check

History of this page Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
What do you think is wrong?

We will only use your email to reply about this report. Privacy. This is not an emergency service: if there is a fire now, call 911.

How we know this
  • Perimeter: MTBS (US Geological Survey and US Forest Service), official; 2 polygons grouped in this page.
  • The official perimeter has no end date: the end is the last day with VIIRS detections inside the perimeter before a gap of more than 10 days (150 days at most), so it is approximate. 39,606 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2020, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter is official and in the public domain. For past years it comes from MTBS (Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity), run by the U.S. Geological Survey and the USDA Forest Service, which map it on Landsat and Sentinel-2 imagery. For the current and last year it comes from WFIGS at the National Interagency Fire Center (NIFC): incident perimeters mapped by fire crews, aircraft and imagery. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. County boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Public Domain). The area per county is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ slightly from official figures.