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Chinsali fire, 4 September 2025 Chinsali

Out · last detection 7 Oct 2025, 23:13 UTC

The fire started on 4 September 2025 in Chinsali, Zambia, and satellites saw it burning for 34 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 3,813 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 354th largest in Muchinga since 2016 (of 520 with a page). Number 166 in Zambia in 2025, of 271.

Compare with…
Burnt area
3,813ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
34days
4 Sept 2025 – 7 Oct 2025
Municipalities hit
1
districts
Started on
4 Sept
2025
Heat detections
195
in a single hotspot: 53 MW
Danger at start
41
Very high · FWI index
Average daily power
71MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 4 Sept7 Oct
7 Oct 2025

How it evolved, day by day

4 Sept 2025 · 13 MW · 3 6 Sept 2025 · 7 MW · 1 11 Sept 2025 · 66 MW · 10 12 Sept 2025 · 46 MW · 6 13 Sept 2025 · 27 MW · 4 14 Sept 2025 · 28 MW · 5 15 Sept 2025 · 63 MW · 7 16 Sept 2025 · 142 MW · 11 17 Sept 2025 · 30 MW · 4 18 Sept 2025 · 294 MW · 32 19 Sept 2025 · 93 MW · 8 20 Sept 2025 · 120 MW · 16 21 Sept 2025 · 51 MW · 4 22 Sept 2025 · 145 MW · 13 23 Sept 2025 · 68 MW · 8 24 Sept 2025 · 27 MW · 3 25 Sept 2025 · 55 MW · 7 26 Sept 2025 · 56 MW · 8 27 Sept 2025 · 125 MW · 5 28 Sept 2025 · 76 MW · 7 30 Sept 2025 · 181 MW · 15 2 Oct 2025 · 29 MW · 5 3 Oct 2025 · 23 MW · 4 4 Oct 2025 · 48 MW · 6 5 Oct 2025 · 26 MW · 1 7 Oct 2025 · 3 MW · 2
4 Sept 13 Sept 17 Sept 18 Sept 21 Sept 25 Sept 30 Sept 5 Oct

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

33°high
57km/h · peak gust
14%lowest humidity

It had gone more than two months without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

84% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 558 ha in 2016, 585 ha in 2017, 342 ha in 2019, 812 ha in 2020, 1,589 ha in 2021, 1,017 ha in 2022, 836 ha in 2024. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 3,188 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 2.4% of the area of London (38 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Chinsali where it started
    3,841 ha reached on 4 Sept
    0.6 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2025
Built-up area1.4 ha
Residents≈ 90

Inside the perimeter there were about 1.4 hectares of built-up land and about 90 residents (GHSL 2025, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned. The GHSL 2025 epoch is a projection made from 2020 and earlier data.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
11 Sept 28.8 °C 26 % 43 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
12 Sept 28.7 °C 20 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
13 Sept 29.2 °C 20 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 39
14 Sept 29.5 °C 25 % 25 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 39
15 Sept 29.5 °C 24 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
16 Sept 30.8 °C 14 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
17 Sept 31.0 °C 17 % 29 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
18 Sept 29.7 °C 23 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 47
19 Sept 30.5 °C 28 % 37 km/h 0.7 mm High 37
20 Sept 27.8 °C 29 % 57 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
21 Sept 25.6 °C 39 % 48 km/h 0.0 mm High 37
22 Sept 29.3 °C 28 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm High 33
23 Sept 30.7 °C 22 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
24 Sept 30.2 °C 22 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 43
25 Sept 30.2 °C 23 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 43
26 Sept 30.1 °C 25 % 52 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
27 Sept 30.1 °C 24 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44
28 Sept 32.1 °C 19 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 39
29 Sept 32.9 °C 18 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
30 Sept 32.1 °C 24 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
1 Oct 26.5 °C 45 % 52 km/h 0.2 mm Very high 39
2 Oct 27.6 °C 35 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm High 35
3 Oct 29.4 °C 16 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
4 Oct 27.1 °C 18 % 48 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 50
5 Oct 27.8 °C 26 % 46 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 47
6 Oct 29.4 °C 25 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
7 Oct 29.8 °C 22 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
8 Oct after 30.3 °C 24 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44
9 Oct after 29.5 °C 27 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 43
10 Oct after 30.1 °C 25 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 28 Aug 2025
After · 14 Oct 2025

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 29 September 2025 the air beside the fire reached 125 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 54: 3.6 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak125 µg/m³
Days over the guideline17 days
PM10128 µg/m³
Optical depth1.34
9101112131415161718192021222324252627282930123
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 195Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Zambia ›

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Chinsali fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 4 September 2025 to 7 October 2025 (34 days). The perimeter dates it from 11 September 2025 to 30 September 2025.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 3,813 hectares (38.1 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Chinsali (3,841 ha, 0.6 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 32.9 °C, humidity dropped to 14 % and gusts hit 57 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 48, class Very high.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Zambia (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 2 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Last day with fire: 30 September 2025 → 7 October 2025.
  2. Start date: 11 September 2025 → 4 September 2025.

RSS Changes to this page

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 11 September 2025 to 30 September 2025. 195 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2025, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology ›

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.