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UG · Uganda · –

Buliisa fire, 16 February 2023 Buliisa

Out · last detection 20 Feb 2023, 12:09 UTC

The fire started on 16 February 2023 in Buliisa, Uganda, and satellites saw it burning for 5 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 1,933 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 58th largest in Western Region since 2016 (of 210 with a page). Number 13 in Uganda in 2023, of 71.

Compare with…
Burnt area
1,933ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
5days
16 Feb 2023 – 20 Feb 2023
Municipalities hit
1
counties
Started on
16 Feb
2023
Heat detections
55
in a single hotspot: 106 MW
Danger at start
48
Very high · FWI index
Average daily power
247MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 16 Feb20 Feb
20 Feb 2023

How it evolved, day by day

16 Feb 2023 · 8 MW · 2 17 Feb 2023 · 62 MW · 10 18 Feb 2023 · 121 MW · 14 19 Feb 2023 · 13 MW · 8 20 Feb 2023 · 1,028 MW · 21
16 Feb 17 Feb 18 Feb 19 Feb 20 Feb

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

38°high
35km/h · peak gust
14%lowest humidity

It had gone 13 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started. Rain came after the fire: 1.3 mm on 24 Feb.

This area had burned before

96% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 1,387 ha in 2016, 1,713 ha in 2017, 1,418 ha in 2019, 1,057 ha in 2021, 416 ha in 2022. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 1,863 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 1.2% of the area of London (19 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Buliisa where it started
    1,946 ha reached on 16 Feb
    0.8 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2025
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2025, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned. The GHSL 2025 epoch is a projection made from 2020 and earlier data.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
16 Feb 36.3 °C 20 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
17 Feb 35.7 °C 19 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
18 Feb 37.2 °C 18 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 47
19 Feb 37.3 °C 16 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
20 Feb 38.5 °C 14 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 47
21 Feb after 37.6 °C 15 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
22 Feb after 37.9 °C 13 % 25 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
23 Feb after 36.6 °C 18 % 23 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 50
24 Feb after 35.9 °C 28 % 27 km/h 1.3 mm High 30

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 48.3, a minimum humidity of 20% and 13 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 54.

FWI at the start 48.3
Minimum humidity 20 %
Days without rain 13
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Jie fire, December 2021
2,131 ha 1 day FWI 48.8 Min. humidity 20 % 249 km away, in 2021

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

6 days
median duration
1,335 ha
median area
100 %
went past 1,000 ha
2.4 mm
rain at the end (median; 18 of 54 had it)

It burned an area similar to its twins (1,933 ha against a median of 1,335 ha) and lasted 5 days, against 6 days.

In 36 of 54, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.4 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

1.3 mmfirst rain
24 Feb4 days after it ended
35km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 20 Feb, and on 24 Feb 1.3 mm fell. We do not know whether the rain or the firefighters put it out. Twins with rain when they ended: 18 of 54, with a median of 2.4 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 9 Feb 2023
After · 27 Feb 2023

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 20 February 2023 the air beside the fire reached 117 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 63: 4.2 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak117 µg/m³
Days over the guideline10 days
PM10168 µg/m³
Optical depth0.52
14 Feb16 Feb18 Feb20 Feb22 Feb
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 55Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Uganda

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Buliisa fire last?
GWIS (Copernicus) dates it between 16 February 2023 and 20 February 2023: 5 days between the first and last heat detection of the perimeter.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 1,933 hectares (19.3 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Buliisa (1,946 ha, 0.8 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 38.5 °C, humidity dropped to 14 % and gusts hit 35 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 49, class Very high.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Uganda (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 54. Their median duration was 6 days and their median area 1,335 ha; 100 % went past 1,000 ha. In 36 of 54, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.4 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Emergency number: 999 · 112 · Emergency number and official warnings

Satellite cross-check

History of this page Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
What do you think is wrong?

We will only use your email to reply about this report. Privacy. This is not an emergency service: if there is a fire now, call 999 · 112.

How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates from the perimeter: the VIIRS detections inside it did not change them. 55 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2025, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Public Domain). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.