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ZA · South Africa · –

Breede Valley fire, 3 February 2024 Breede Valley

Out · last detection 17 Feb 2024, 12:11 UTC

The fire started on 3 February 2024 in Breede Valley, South Africa, and satellites saw it burning for 15 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 6,122 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 45th largest in Western Cape since 2016 (of 132 with a page). Number 13 in South Africa in 2024, of 121.

Burnt area
6,122ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
15days
3 Feb 2024 – 17 Feb 2024
Municipalities hit
1
municipalities
Started on
3 Feb
2024
Heat detections
348
in a single hotspot: 168 MW
Danger at start
8
Low · FWI index
Average daily power
172MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 3 Feb17 Feb
17 Feb 2024

How it evolved, day by day

3 Feb 2024 · 30 MW · 8 4 Feb 2024 · 30 MW · 11 5 Feb 2024 · 138 MW · 52 6 Feb 2024 · 150 MW · 24 7 Feb 2024 · 106 MW · 24 8 Feb 2024 · 135 MW · 21 9 Feb 2024 · 170 MW · 30 10 Feb 2024 · 142 MW · 14 11 Feb 2024 · 105 MW · 37 12 Feb 2024 · 858 MW · 44 13 Feb 2024 · 549 MW · 55 14 Feb 2024 · 140 MW · 17 15 Feb 2024 · 6 MW · 4 16 Feb 2024 · 12 MW · 4 17 Feb 2024 · 15 MW · 3
3 Feb 6 Feb 9 Feb 12 Feb 15 Feb

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

32°high
71km/h · peak gust
16%lowest humidity

It had gone one day without rain (1 mm or more) when it started. Rain came after the fire: 1.0 mm on 24 Feb.

This area had burned before

12% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 729 ha in 2016.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 3.9% of the area of London (61 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Breede Valley where it started
    6,127 ha reached on 3 Feb
    1.6 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2025
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2025, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned. The GHSL 2025 epoch is a projection made from 2020 and earlier data.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
3 Feb 30.2 °C 31 % 30 km/h 4.4 mm Low 8
4 Feb 29.5 °C 18 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm High 28
5 Feb 28.1 °C 29 % 45 km/h 0.0 mm High 30
6 Feb 26.3 °C 33 % 60 km/h 0.2 mm High 34
7 Feb 20.7 °C 43 % 59 km/h 0.4 mm High 27
8 Feb 23.7 °C 28 % 43 km/h 0.0 mm High 27
9 Feb 19.8 °C 39 % 50 km/h 0.0 mm High 27
10 Feb 23.2 °C 27 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm High 28
11 Feb 30.5 °C 17 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm High 33
12 Feb 32.3 °C 16 % 51 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
13 Feb 29.4 °C 18 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 38
14 Feb 26.8 °C 28 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm High 35
15 Feb 15.6 °C 50 % 71 km/h 1.7 mm Low 10
16 Feb 18.6 °C 33 % 40 km/h 0.9 mm Moderate 14
17 Feb 22.4 °C 23 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm High 24
18 Feb after 28.6 °C 17 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm High 33
19 Feb after 33.6 °C 8 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44
20 Feb after 29.4 °C 13 % 48 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
21 Feb after 24.0 °C 33 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm High 33
22 Feb after 24.1 °C 31 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm High 32
23 Feb after 28.7 °C 18 % 51 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
24 Feb after 22.0 °C 39 % 59 km/h 1.0 mm High 22

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 7.9, a minimum humidity of 31% and 1 day without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 20.

FWI at the start 7.9
Minimum humidity 31 %
Days without rain 1
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Langeberg fire, January 2022
4,172 ha 4 days FWI 10.7 Min. humidity 26 % 28 km away, in 2022

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: 1.2 mm on 1 Feb.

What happened to them

6 days
median duration
5,616 ha
median area
20 %
went past 10,000 ha
4.7 mm
rain at the end (median; 18 of 20 had it)

It burned an area similar to its twins (6,122 ha against a median of 5,616 ha) and lasted 15 days, against 6 days.

In 2 of 20, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 4.7 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

1.0 mmfirst rain
24 Feb7 days after it ended
71km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 17 Feb, and on 24 Feb 1.0 mm fell. We do not know whether the rain or the firefighters put it out. Twins with rain when they ended: 18 of 20, with a median of 4.7 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 27 Jan 2024
After · 24 Feb 2024

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 1 February 2024 the air beside the fire reached 60 µg/m³ of PM2.5, but no daily average passed the WHO guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak60 µg/m³
Days over the guideline0 days
PM1088 µg/m³
Optical depth0.65
1 Feb5 Feb9 Feb13 Feb17 Feb
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 348Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in South Africa

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Breede Valley fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 3 February 2024 to 17 February 2024 (15 days). The perimeter dates it from 3 February 2024 to 16 February 2024.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 6,122 hectares (61.2 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Breede Valley (6,127 ha, 1.6 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 32.3 °C, humidity dropped to 16 % and gusts hit 71 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 42, class Very high.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of South Africa (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 20. Their median duration was 6 days and their median area 5,616 ha; 20 % went past 10,000 ha. In 2 of 20, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 4.7 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Emergency number: 10177 · 112 · Emergency number and official warnings

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 1 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Last day with fire: 16 February 2024 → 17 February 2024.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
What do you think is wrong?

We will only use your email to reply about this report. Privacy. This is not an emergency service: if there is a fire now, call 10177 · 112.

How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 3 February 2024 to 16 February 2024. 348 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2025, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM3 (Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.