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US · United States · –

Blue Ridge Fire, October 2020 San Bernardino, Orange, Riverside

Out · last detection 27 Oct 2020, 21:47 UTC

The fire started on 26 October 2020 in San Bernardino, United States, and satellites saw it burning for 2 days. United States agencies (MTBS / NIFC) mapped an official burnt perimeter of 5,613 hectares, spread across 3 counties.

It is the 122th largest in California since 2016 (of 442 with a page). Number 100 in United States in 2020, of 441.

Burnt area
5,613ha
official perimeter (MTBS / NIFC)
Duration
≈ 2days
26 Oct 2020 – 27 Oct 2020
Counties hit
3
counties
Started on
26 Oct
2020
Heat detections
236
in a single hotspot: 284 MW
Danger at start
64
Extreme · FWI index
Average daily power
2.1GW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 26 Oct27 Oct
27 Oct 2020

How it evolved, day by day

26 Oct 2020 · 1,361 MW · 35 27 Oct 2020 · 2,928 MW · 201
26 Oct 27 Oct

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

25°high
66km/h · peak gust
3%lowest humidity

It had gone more than two months without rain (1 mm or more) when it started. Rain came after the fire: 1.2 mm on 6 Nov.

This area had burned before

No earlier perimeters overlap this fire since 2016, when the satellite record begins.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 3.5% of the area of London (56 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each county

  1. San Bernardino where it started
    4,146 ha reached on 26 Oct
    0.1 %
  2. 1,161 ha reached on 26 Oct
    0.6 %
  3. 270 ha reached on 26 Oct
    0.0 %

Burnt area inside each county, from crossing the official perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2020
Built-up area11 ha
Residents≈ 600

Inside the perimeter there were about 11 hectares of built-up land and about 600 residents (GHSL 2020, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Started with Extreme FWI: 36 % of the area in United States Strong wind: 27 % of the area in United States Very dry air: 40 % of the area in United States 60 days without rain: 7.0 % of the area in United States

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
26 Oct 20.0 °C 3 % 66 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 64
27 Oct 25.2 °C 4 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
28 Oct after 26.3 °C 12 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
29 Oct after 29.6 °C 9 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 47
30 Oct after 29.1 °C 11 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 50
31 Oct after 30.4 °C 9 % 24 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
1 Nov after 30.6 °C 12 % 23 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 50
2 Nov after 28.0 °C 24 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 47
3 Nov after 26.6 °C 34 % 25 km/h 0.0 mm High 37
4 Nov after 31.4 °C 14 % 20 km/h 0.0 mm High 38
5 Nov after 32.9 °C 9 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 50
6 Nov after 25.6 °C 25 % 39 km/h 1.2 mm Very high 46

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 64.3, a minimum humidity of 3% and more than two months without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 20.

FWI at the start 64.3
Minimum humidity 3 %
Days without rain 60+
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Maria Fire, October 2019
4,061 ha 8 days FWI 61.7 Min. humidity 6 % 131 km away, in 2019

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

4 days
median duration
2,916 ha
median area
80 %
went past 1,000 ha
4.8 mm
rain at the end (median; 5 of 20 had it)

It was 1.9 times larger than the median of its twins and lasted 2 days, against 4 days.

Only 5 of its 20 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 15 of 20, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 4.8 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

1.2 mmfirst rain
6 Nov10 days after it ended
66km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 27 Oct, and on 6 Nov 1.2 mm fell. We do not know whether the rain or the firefighters put it out. Twins with rain when they ended: 5 of 20, with a median of 4.8 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 19 Oct 2020
After · 3 Nov 2020

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

Detections table · 236Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in United States

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Blue Ridge Fire last?
The official perimeter only gives the start date (26 October 2020). The end comes from the heat detections inside the perimeter: it burned until 27 October 2020 (2 days from 26 October 2020), the last day with detections before more than 10 days in a row without any, so it is approximate.
How much area did it burn?
The official perimeter published by United States agencies (MTBS / NIFC) is 5,613 hectares (56.1 km²). Other tallies, such as daily incident reports, may give slightly different figures.
Which counties burned?
The fire entered 3 counties: San Bernardino (4,146 ha, 0.1 %); Orange (1,161 ha, 0.6 %); Riverside (270 ha, 0.0 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 25.2 °C, humidity dropped to 3 % and gusts hit 66 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 64, class Extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the official burnt perimeter of United States agencies (MTBS / NIFC, public domain), NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of United States. It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 20. Their median duration was 4 days and their median area 2,916 ha; 80 % went past 1,000 ha. Only 5 of its 20 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 15 of 20, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 4.8 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Emergency number: 911 · Emergency number and official warnings

Satellite cross-check

History of this page Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
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We will only use your email to reply about this report. Privacy. This is not an emergency service: if there is a fire now, call 911.

How we know this
  • Perimeter: MTBS (US Geological Survey and US Forest Service), official.
  • The official perimeter has no end date: the end is the last day with VIIRS detections inside the perimeter before a gap of more than 10 days (150 days at most), so it is approximate. 236 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2020, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter is official and in the public domain. For past years it comes from MTBS (Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity), run by the U.S. Geological Survey and the USDA Forest Service, which map it on Landsat and Sentinel-2 imagery. For the current and last year it comes from WFIGS at the National Interagency Fire Center (NIFC): incident perimeters mapped by fire crews, aircraft and imagery. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. County boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Public Domain). The area per county is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ slightly from official figures.