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ZA · South Africa · –

Blue Crane Route fire, September 2019 Blue Crane Route

Out · last detection 21 Sept 2019, 23:16 UTC

The fire started on 11 September 2019 in Blue Crane Route, South Africa, and satellites saw it burning for 11 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 4,298 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 44th largest in Eastern Cape since 2016 (of 152 with a page). Number 31 in South Africa in 2019, of 130.

Burnt area
4,298ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
11days
11 Sept 2019 – 21 Sept 2019
Municipalities hit
1
municipalities
Started on
11 Sept
2019
Heat detections
150
in a single hotspot: 144 MW
Danger at start
56
Extreme · FWI index
Average daily power
270MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 11 Sept21 Sept
21 Sept 2019

How it evolved, day by day

11 Sept 2019 · 727 MW · 23 14 Sept 2019 · 6 MW · 3 15 Sept 2019 · 20 MW · 1 16 Sept 2019 · 2 MW · 1 17 Sept 2019 · 43 MW · 4 19 Sept 2019 · 35 MW · 8 20 Sept 2019 · 1,108 MW · 93 21 Sept 2019 · 216 MW · 17
11 Sept 15 Sept 17 Sept 20 Sept

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

33°high
79km/h · peak gust
2%lowest humidity

It had gone 5 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started. Rain came after the fire: 6.7 mm on 22 Sept.

This area had burned before

No earlier perimeters overlap this fire since 2016, when the satellite record begins.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 2.7% of the area of London (43 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Blue Crane Route where it started
    4,294 ha reached on 11 Sept
    0.4 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2020
Built-up area0.13 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there were about 0.13 hectares of built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2020, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Started with Strong wind: 30 % of the area in South Africa Very dry air: 37 % of the area in South Africa

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
11 Sept 25.1 °C 12 % 51 km/h 0.3 mm Extreme 56
12 Sept 18.1 °C 32 % 54 km/h 0.1 mm Very high 40
13 Sept 11.9 °C 19 % 52 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 39
14 Sept 14.0 °C 21 % 23 km/h 0.0 mm High 28
15 Sept 21.8 °C 20 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm High 37
16 Sept 26.0 °C 13 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
17 Sept 26.6 °C 16 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
18 Sept 24.7 °C 25 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 39
19 Sept 29.1 °C 16 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 39
20 Sept 32.6 °C 2 % 79 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 83
21 Sept 23.8 °C 22 % 52 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
22 Sept after 10.6 °C 39 % 62 km/h 6.7 mm Low 5

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 56.0, a minimum humidity of 12% and 5 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 22.

FWI at the start 56.0
Minimum humidity 12 %
Days without rain 5
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Sundays River Valley fire, December 2019
2,070 ha 4 days FWI 61.1 Min. humidity 11 % 96 km away, in 2019

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

4 days
median duration
3,292 ha
median area
5 %
went past 10,000 ha
3.1 mm
rain at the end (median; 15 of 22 had it)

It burned an area similar to its twins (4,298 ha against a median of 3,292 ha) and lasted 11 days, against 4 days.

In 7 of 22, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 3.1 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

6.7 mmfirst rain
22 Septthe day after it ended
79km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 21 Sept, and on 22 Sept 6.7 mm fell. We do not know whether the rain or the firefighters put it out. Twins with rain when they ended: 15 of 22, with a median of 3.1 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 4 Sept 2019
After · 28 Sept 2019

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

Detections table · 150Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in South Africa

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Blue Crane Route fire last?
GWIS (Copernicus) dates it between 11 September 2019 and 21 September 2019: 11 days between the first and last heat detection of the perimeter.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 4,298 hectares (43.0 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Blue Crane Route (4,294 ha, 0.4 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 32.6 °C, humidity dropped to 2 % and gusts hit 79 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 83, class Very extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of South Africa (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 22. Their median duration was 4 days and their median area 3,292 ha; 5 % went past 10,000 ha. In 7 of 22, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 3.1 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Emergency number: 10177 · 112 · Emergency number and official warnings

Satellite cross-check

History of this page Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
What do you think is wrong?

We will only use your email to reply about this report. Privacy. This is not an emergency service: if there is a fire now, call 10177 · 112.

How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates from the perimeter: the VIIRS detections inside it did not change them. 150 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2020, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM3 (Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.