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NG · Nigeria · –

Birnin Gwari fire, 19 December 2018 Birnin Gwari

Out · last detection 3 Jan 2019, 13:45 UTC

The fire started on 19 December 2018 in Birnin Gwari, Nigeria, and satellites saw it burning for 16 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 2,932 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 26th largest in Kaduna since 2016 (of 68 with a page). Number 25 in Nigeria in 2018, of 63.

The power measured by the satellite is low (18.2 MW in the strongest hotspot), more typical of grass or stubble burning, or a slow surface fire, than of a large crown fire.

Burnt area
2,932ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
16days
19 Dec 2018 – 3 Jan 2019
Municipalities hit
1
local government areas
Started on
19 Dec
2018
Heat detections
89
in a single hotspot: 18 MW
Danger at start
52
Extreme · FWI index
Average daily power
30MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 19 Dec3 Jan
3 Jan 2019

How it evolved, day by day

19 Dec 2018 · 10 MW · 2 21 Dec 2018 · 3 MW · 4 23 Dec 2018 · 73 MW · 8 24 Dec 2018 · 2 MW · 1 26 Dec 2018 · 45 MW · 8 27 Dec 2018 · 63 MW · 7 28 Dec 2018 · 11 MW · 6 29 Dec 2018 · 5 MW · 9 30 Dec 2018 · 24 MW · 6 1 Jan 2019 · 93 MW · 22 2 Jan 2019 · 10 MW · 9 3 Jan 2019 · 16 MW · 7
19 Dec 24 Dec 28 Dec 1 Jan

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

32°high
49km/h · peak gust
15%lowest humidity

It had gone 51 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

3% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 86 ha in 2016.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 1.9% of the area of London (29 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Birnin Gwari where it started
    2,950 ha reached on 19 Dec
    0.5 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2020
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2020, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
19 Dec 30.2 °C 20 % 45 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
20 Dec 30.3 °C 20 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 50
21 Dec 29.2 °C 21 % 45 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
22 Dec 29.3 °C 21 % 43 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 50
23 Dec 29.7 °C 20 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
24 Dec 29.0 °C 20 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 50
25 Dec 29.7 °C 20 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 50
26 Dec 29.9 °C 19 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
27 Dec 30.4 °C 15 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
28 Dec 31.9 °C 16 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
29 Dec 30.7 °C 18 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
30 Dec 31.0 °C 20 % 43 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
31 Dec 30.6 °C 17 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 53
1 Jan 30.9 °C 15 % 48 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 55
2 Jan 29.9 °C 15 % 49 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 56
3 Jan 30.8 °C 19 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 53
4 Jan after 31.2 °C 18 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 50
5 Jan after 30.6 °C 16 % 46 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 54
6 Jan after 29.5 °C 14 % 48 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 57
7 Jan after 29.0 °C 17 % 45 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 55
8 Jan after 27.7 °C 18 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 53
9 Jan after 31.5 °C 16 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
10 Jan after 32.4 °C 17 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 47
11 Jan after 34.0 °C 16 % 29 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
12 Jan after 35.0 °C 12 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 53
13 Jan after 33.6 °C 12 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 56

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 51.8, a minimum humidity of 20% and 51 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 47.

FWI at the start 51.8
Minimum humidity 20 %
Days without rain 51
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Chikun fire, December 2021
3,717 ha 10 days FWI 51.9 Min. humidity 20 % 45 km away, in 2021

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

14 days
median duration
2,631 ha
median area
100 %
went past 1,000 ha
—
rain at the end (median; 0 of 47 had it)

It burned an area similar to its twins (2,932 ha against a median of 2,631 ha) and lasted 16 days, against 14 days.

In none of them did 1 mm fall in the ten days after the end: they all went out without rain.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
49km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 3 Jan, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain. None of its 47 twins had rain when they ended.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 12 Dec 2018
After · 10 Jan 2019

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

Detections table · 89Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Nigeria

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Birnin Gwari fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 19 December 2018 to 3 January 2019 (16 days). The perimeter dates it from 26 December 2018 to 3 January 2019.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 2,932 hectares (29.3 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Birnin Gwari (2,950 ha, 0.5 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 31.9 °C, humidity dropped to 15 % and gusts hit 49 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 56, class Extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Nigeria (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 47. Their median duration was 14 days and their median area 2,631 ha; 100 % went past 1,000 ha. In none of them did 1 mm fall in the ten days after the end: they all went out without rain.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Emergency number: 112 · Emergency number and official warnings

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 1 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Start date: 26 December 2018 → 19 December 2018.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
What do you think is wrong?

We will only use your email to reply about this report. Privacy. This is not an emergency service: if there is a fire now, call 112.

How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 26 December 2018 to 3 January 2019. 89 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2020, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.