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SS · South Sudan · –

Baliet fire, 27 December 2023 Baliet, Nyirol

Out · last detection 6 Jan 2024, 23:05 UTC

The fire started on 27 December 2023 in Baliet, South Sudan, and satellites saw it burning for 10 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 6,263 hectares from heat detections, spread across 2 municipalities.

It is the 152th largest in Upper Nile since 2016 (of 238 with a page). Number 70 in South Sudan in 2023, of 106.

Burnt area
6,263ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
10days
27 Dec 2023 – 5 Jan 2024
Municipalities hit
2
counties
Started on
27 Dec
2023
Heat detections
206
in a single hotspot: 36 MW
Danger at start
59
Extreme · FWI index
Average daily power
113MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 27 Dec5 Jan
6 Jan 2024

How it evolved, day by day

27 Dec 2023 · 1 MW · 1 28 Dec 2023 · 433 MW · 58 29 Dec 2023 · 500 MW · 93 30 Dec 2023 · 116 MW · 22 31 Dec 2023 · 72 MW · 12 1 Jan 2024 · 17 MW · 4 2 Jan 2024 · 54 MW · 4 3 Jan 2024 · 21 MW · 5 4 Jan 2024 · 4 MW · 1 5 Jan 2024 · 16 MW · 2 6 Jan 2024 · 8 MW · 4
29 Dec 2 Jan 5 Jan

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

38°high
46km/h · peak gust
10%lowest humidity

It had gone 38 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

96% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 3,188 ha in 2016, 4,931 ha in 2017, 4,535 ha in 2019, 502 ha in 2020, 541 ha in 2021, 3,538 ha in 2022. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 6,001 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 4% of the area of London (63 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Baliet where it started
    6,160 ha reached on 27 Dec
    0.5 %
  2. 134 ha reached on 29 Dec
    0.0 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2025
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2025, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned. The GHSL 2025 epoch is a projection made from 2020 and earlier data.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
27 Dec 37.5 °C 18 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 59
28 Dec 36.6 °C 15 % 43 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 61
29 Dec 37.1 °C 12 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 60
30 Dec 37.3 °C 13 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 61
31 Dec 37.2 °C 11 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 62
1 Jan 37.3 °C 12 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 56
2 Jan 38.1 °C 13 % 46 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 66
3 Jan 37.7 °C 10 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 63
4 Jan 37.7 °C 10 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 62
5 Jan 36.3 °C 11 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 66
6 Jan after 36.9 °C 11 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 64
7 Jan after 36.8 °C 11 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 64
8 Jan after 37.7 °C 10 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 63
9 Jan after 38.7 °C 12 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 61
10 Jan after 38.9 °C 13 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 63
11 Jan after 38.9 °C 13 % 46 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 69
12 Jan after 37.5 °C 13 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 68
13 Jan after 37.7 °C 13 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 63
14 Jan after 38.5 °C 12 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 66
15 Jan after 37.6 °C 11 % 50 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 74

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 58.9, a minimum humidity of 18% and 38 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 22.

FWI at the start 58.9
Minimum humidity 18 %
Days without rain 38
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Nyirol fire, December 2018
5,736 ha 7 days FWI 57.8 Min. humidity 18 % 41 km away, in 2018

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

12 days
median duration
8,219 ha
median area
41 %
went past 10,000 ha
—
rain at the end (median; 0 of 22 had it)

It burned an area similar to its twins (6,263 ha against a median of 8,219 ha) and lasted 10 days, against 12 days.

In none of them did 1 mm fall in the ten days after the end: they all went out without rain.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
46km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 5 Jan, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain. None of its 22 twins had rain when they ended.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 20 Dec 2023
After · 12 Jan 2024

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 1 January 2024 the air beside the fire reached 61 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 36: 2.4 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak61 µg/m³
Days over the guideline9 days
PM1087 µg/m³
Optical depth1.07
26 Dec28 Dec30 Dec1 Jan3 Jan
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 206Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in South Sudan

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Baliet fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 27 December 2023 to 5 January 2024 (10 days). The perimeter dates it from 28 December 2023 to 31 December 2023.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 6,263 hectares (62.6 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire entered 2 municipalities: Baliet (6,160 ha, 0.5 %); Nyirol (134 ha, 0.0 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 38.1 °C, humidity dropped to 10 % and gusts hit 46 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 66, class Extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of South Sudan (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 22. Their median duration was 12 days and their median area 8,219 ha; 41 % went past 10,000 ha. In none of them did 1 mm fall in the ten days after the end: they all went out without rain.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 2 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Last day with fire: 31 December 2023 → 5 January 2024.
  2. Start date: 28 December 2023 → 27 December 2023.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 28 December 2023 to 31 December 2023. 206 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2025, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.