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Bakaiya fire, March 2021 Bakaiya, Bagmati

Out · last detection 4 Apr 2021, 20:57 UTC

The fire started on 20 March 2021 in Bakaiya, Nepal, and satellites saw it burning for 17 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 2,824 hectares from heat detections, spread across 2 municipalities.

It is the 3th largest in Bagmati since 2016 (of 11 with a page). Number 19 in Nepal in 2021, of 39.

The power measured by the satellite is low (7.3 MW in the strongest hotspot), more typical of grass or stubble burning, or a slow surface fire, than of a large crown fire.

Compare with…

Suggestions: Nijgadh · 2021

Burnt area
2,824ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
17days
20 Mar 2021 – 5 Apr 2021
Municipalities hit
2
municipalities
Started on
20 Mar
2021
Heat detections
105
in a single hotspot: 7 MW
Danger at start
20
Moderate · FWI index
Average daily power
19MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 20 Mar5 Apr
4 Apr 2021

How it evolved, day by day

20 Mar 2021 · 5 MW · 1 24 Mar 2021 · 8 MW · 6 25 Mar 2021 · 78 MW · 41 26 Mar 2021 · 10 MW · 7 27 Mar 2021 · 29 MW · 13 28 Mar 2021 · 24 MW · 16 29 Mar 2021 · 9 MW · 4 2 Apr 2021 · 11 MW · 7 3 Apr 2021 · 13 MW · 5 4 Apr 2021 · 5 MW · 5
20 Mar 25 Mar 27 Mar 29 Mar 3 Apr

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

32°high
48km/h · peak gust
21%lowest humidity

It had gone 11 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started. Rain came after the fire: 1.1 mm on 8 Apr.

This area had burned before

48% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 905 ha in 2016, 671 ha in 2018, 295 ha in 2020. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 1,343 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 1.8% of the area of London (28 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Bakaiya where it started
    2,131 ha reached on 20 Mar
    5.4 %
  2. 706 ha reached on 25 Mar
    2.3 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2020
Built-up area11 ha
Residents≈ 2,600

Inside the perimeter there were about 11 hectares of built-up land and about 2,600 residents (GHSL 2020, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
20 Mar 28.8 °C 33 % 42 km/h 0.2 mm Moderate 20
21 Mar 30.8 °C 27 % 41 km/h 0.2 mm High 24
22 Mar 32.0 °C 27 % 41 km/h 0.2 mm High 25
23 Mar 31.6 °C 28 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm High 26
24 Mar 31.2 °C 27 % 48 km/h 1.3 mm High 22
25 Mar 30.8 °C 23 % 47 km/h 0.0 mm High 29
26 Mar 31.1 °C 25 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm High 27
27 Mar 30.8 °C 27 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm High 26
28 Mar 30.6 °C 28 % 37 km/h 0.3 mm High 28
29 Mar 30.1 °C 32 % 40 km/h 0.1 mm High 28
30 Mar 29.6 °C 39 % 27 km/h 1.9 mm Low 10
31 Mar 26.8 °C 58 % 28 km/h 4.6 mm Very low 2
1 Apr 28.6 °C 41 % 36 km/h 2.0 mm Very low 5
2 Apr 30.0 °C 26 % 43 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 20
3 Apr 30.4 °C 21 % 37 km/h 0.1 mm High 26
4 Apr 31.0 °C 21 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm High 27
5 Apr 30.4 °C 24 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm High 28
6 Apr after 31.4 °C 30 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm High 28
7 Apr after 31.8 °C 37 % 36 km/h 0.5 mm High 25
8 Apr after 31.2 °C 37 % 41 km/h 1.1 mm Moderate 18

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 13 Mar 2021
After · 12 Apr 2021

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

Detections table · 105Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Nepal ›

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Bakaiya fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 20 March 2021 to 5 April 2021 (17 days). The perimeter dates it from 24 March 2021 to 29 March 2021.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 2,824 hectares (28.2 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire entered 2 municipalities: Bakaiya (2,131 ha, 5.4 %); Bagmati (706 ha, 2.3 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 32.0 °C, humidity dropped to 21 % and gusts hit 48 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 29, class High.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Nepal (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Emergency number: 101 · Emergency number and official warnings ›

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 2 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Last day with fire: 29 March 2021 → 5 April 2021.
  2. Start date: 24 March 2021 → 20 March 2021.

RSS Changes to this page

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
What do you think is wrong?

We will only use your email to reply about this report. Privacy. This is not an emergency service: if there is a fire now, call 101.

How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 24 March 2021 to 29 March 2021. 105 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2020, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology ›

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM3 (Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.