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PY · Paraguay · –

Bahía Negra fire, February 2016 Bahía Negra

Out · last detection 20 Feb 2016, 05:21 UTC

The fire started on 8 February 2016 in Bahía Negra, Paraguay, and satellites saw it burning for 13 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 2,079 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 210th largest in ALTO PARAGUAY since 2016 (of 383 with a page). Number 61 in Paraguay in 2016, of 124.

Burnt area
2,079ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
13days
8 Feb 2016 – 20 Feb 2016
Municipalities hit
1
districts
Started on
8 Feb
2016
Heat detections
116
in a single hotspot: 51 MW
Danger at start
6
Low · FWI index
Average daily power
96MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 8 Feb20 Feb
20 Feb 2016

How it evolved, day by day

8 Feb 2016 · 7 MW · 1 9 Feb 2016 · 13 MW · 5 10 Feb 2016 · 1 MW · 1 11 Feb 2016 · 9 MW · 1 12 Feb 2016 · 163 MW · 24 13 Feb 2016 · 28 MW · 9 14 Feb 2016 · 34 MW · 8 15 Feb 2016 · 2 MW · 2 17 Feb 2016 · 751 MW · 50 18 Feb 2016 · 28 MW · 7 20 Feb 2016 · 17 MW · 8
8 Feb 11 Feb 17 Feb

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

38°high
63km/h · peak gust
38%lowest humidity

It had gone one day without rain (1 mm or more) when it started. Rain came after the fire: 27.8 mm on 21 Feb.

This area had burned before

No earlier perimeters overlap this fire since 2016, when the satellite record begins.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 1.3% of the area of London (21 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Bahía Negra where it started
    2,085 ha reached on 8 Feb
    0.1 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2015
Built-up area0.38 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there were about 0.38 hectares of built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2015, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Started with Strong wind: 22 % of the area in Paraguay

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
8 Feb 35.5 °C 49 % 63 km/h 0.0 mm Low 6
9 Feb 36.3 °C 51 % 53 km/h 1.4 mm Very low 4
10 Feb 33.8 °C 62 % 34 km/h 5.3 mm Very low 0
11 Feb 36.2 °C 51 % 37 km/h 0.1 mm Very low 4
12 Feb 36.8 °C 43 % 46 km/h 0.0 mm Low 10
13 Feb 37.0 °C 45 % 49 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 12
14 Feb 35.9 °C 49 % 52 km/h 0.0 mm Low 10
15 Feb 37.3 °C 43 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Low 10
16 Feb 36.8 °C 46 % 52 km/h 0.1 mm Moderate 13
17 Feb 36.9 °C 41 % 60 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 19
18 Feb 37.6 °C 46 % 50 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 16
19 Feb 38.3 °C 38 % 47 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 17
20 Feb 33.7 °C 53 % 33 km/h 1.1 mm Low 8
21 Feb after 31.1 °C 66 % 28 km/h 27.8 mm Very low 0

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 6.3, a minimum humidity of 49% and 1 day without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 17.

FWI at the start 6.3
Minimum humidity 49 %
Days without rain 1
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Mariscal Estigarribia fire, November 2017
4,141 ha 16 days FWI 5.8 Min. humidity 49 % 163 km away, in 2017

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: 1.6 mm on 21 Nov.

What happened to them

10 days
median duration
2,388 ha
median area
100 %
went past 1,000 ha
4.0 mm
rain at the end (median; 16 of 17 had it)

It burned an area similar to its twins (2,079 ha against a median of 2,388 ha) and lasted 13 days, against 10 days.

In 1 of 17, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 4.0 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

27.8 mmfirst rain
21 Febthe day after it ended
63km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 20 Feb, and on 21 Feb 27.8 mm fell. We do not know whether the rain or the firefighters put it out. Twins with rain when they ended: 16 of 17, with a median of 4.0 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 1 Feb 2016
After · 27 Feb 2016

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

Detections table · 116Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Paraguay

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Bahía Negra fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 8 February 2016 to 20 February 2016 (13 days). The perimeter dates it from 9 February 2016 to 20 February 2016.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 2,079 hectares (20.8 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Bahía Negra (2,085 ha, 0.1 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 38.3 °C, humidity dropped to 38 % and gusts hit 63 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 19, class Moderate.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Paraguay (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 17. Their median duration was 10 days and their median area 2,388 ha; 100 % went past 1,000 ha. In 1 of 17, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 4.0 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Emergency number: 132 · 911 · Emergency number and official warnings

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 1 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Start date: 9 February 2016 → 8 February 2016.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
What do you think is wrong?

We will only use your email to reply about this report. Privacy. This is not an emergency service: if there is a fire now, call 132 · 911.

How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 9 February 2016 to 20 February 2016. 116 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2015, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.