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SS · South Sudan · –

Aweil Centre fire, 5 November 2026 Aweil Centre

Burning · last detection 15 Nov 2026, 12:10 UTC

The fire started on 5 November 2026 in Aweil Centre, South Sudan, and satellites saw it burning for 11 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 15,979 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

Number 30 in South Sudan in 2026, of 255.

GWIS near-real-time perimeter, from the layer that changed in August 2025: this fire is not compared with fires from earlier years, because since then the GWIS layer gives more and larger perimeters.

Is it still active?

Satellites detected fire on 15 Nov 2026, 12:10 UTC. Everything suggests it is still burning. Satellites pass a few times a day and cloud or smoke can hide the fire: a lack of detections is not an official extinction. Each country’s emergency service declares a fire contained or out.

Wind, humidity and rain for the next 72 h

Burnt area
15,979ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
11days
5 Nov 2026 – 15 Nov 2026
Municipalities hit
1
counties
Started on
5 Nov
2026
Heat detections
390
in a single hotspot: 120 MW
Danger at start
46
Very high · FWI index
Average daily power
515MW
detected power per day, on average

The next 72 hours

The wind is blowing from the east and pushing westwards; no sharp shifts are expected until Thu 19, 00:00.

ECMWF IFS 0.25° at the centre of the fire · computed 15 Nov 2026, 23:21 UTC

Mon 16, 20:00 – Tue 17, 07:00, local time

No overnight recovery: humidity stays at or below 37 %

Nights usually moisten the vegetation and the fire calms down. Tonight humidity does not reach 55 %, so it may stay active in the small hours.

Tue 17, 20:00 – Wed 18, 07:00, local time

No overnight recovery: humidity stays at or below 29 %

Nights usually moisten the vegetation and the fire calms down. Tonight humidity does not reach 55 %, so it may stay active in the small hours.

Checked, no warning: no wind shifts of more than 60° no useful rain expected (0.0 mm in 72 h)

Hour by hour, local time

Tap the strip to see each hour

Mean wind Gusts where it blows to Relative humidity Night (8 pm to 8 am) Rain (mm) · chance in %

Where is it blowing? The next 48 h

geoBoundaries/South Sudan Information Management Working Group (IMWG), National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), and OCHA, OCHA South Sudan (Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO)); geoBoundaries/Agency for Technical Cooperation and Development (ACTED), OCHA Central African Republic (Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO))

At this hour

Places the fan reaches

    Is it heading my way?

    We compare your point with the fan for each hour. Your location never leaves your device.

    or tap the map

    This is not an official warning. It is a global model forecast with cells of about 25 km, at the centre of the fire: it cannot see valley winds or the winds the fire itself creates. The fan shows where the wind blows, not where the fire will spread. If in doubt, follow what the authorities say.

    Forecast: ECMWF IFS 0.25° (European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts), served by our own Open-Meteo instance; the chance of rain comes from the ECMWF ensemble. Variables: wind and gusts at 10 m, wind at 850 hPa, relative humidity and temperature at 2 m, rain. Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0).

    Fire: GWIS / Copernicus (reconstructed from VIIRS) (CC BY 4.0); hotspots from the last 24 h: VIIRS from NASA FIRMS. Boundaries: geoBoundaries/South Sudan Information Management Working Group (IMWG), National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), and OCHA, OCHA South Sudan (Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO)); geoBoundaries/Agency for Technical Cooperation and Development (ACTED), OCHA Central African Republic (Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO)).

    How it is worked out: wind shift = a change of more than 60° in 6 h or less, with at least 15 km/h before and after; no overnight recovery = peak humidity between 8 pm and 8 am stays below 55 %; useful rain = 2 mm or more in 6 h. The fan opens 18° plus however much the wind varies within ±3 h and reaches 25 km beyond the edge of the fire: one model cell, not a rate of spread. Methodology

    Where it burned

    HOTSPOTS BY DAY 5 Nov15 Nov
    15 Nov 2026

    How it evolved, day by day

    5 Nov 2026 · 201 MW · 16 6 Nov 2026 · 88 MW · 6 7 Nov 2026 · 0 MW · 0 8 Nov 2026 · 0 MW · 0 9 Nov 2026 · 1,317 MW · 98 10 Nov 2026 · 606 MW · 112 11 Nov 2026 · 2,188 MW · 118 12 Nov 2026 · 99 MW · 11 13 Nov 2026 · 21 MW · 9 14 Nov 2026 · 71 MW · 11 15 Nov 2026 · 47 MW · 9
    5 Nov 8 Nov 11 Nov 14 Nov

    Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

    Fire front film How it spread from one satellite pass to the next (33 passes) and with what wind. Watch the film

    The weather it burned in

    40°high
    38km/h · peak gust
    9%lowest humidity

    It had gone 18 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

    This area had burned before

    100% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 6,943 ha in 2016, 4,851 ha in 2017, 1,876 ha in 2018, 8,383 ha in 2019, 5,602 ha in 2020, 5,881 ha in 2021, 2,080 ha in 2023, 4,917 ha in 2024, 11,413 ha in 2025. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 15,913 ha that had burned before.

    How big is it?

    10 km
    It burned the equivalent of 10% of the area of London (160 km² against 1,583 km²).

    London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

    This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

    What happened to each town

    1. Aweil Centre where it started
      16,077 ha reached on 5 Nov
      1.4 %

    Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

    The weather day by day

    ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

    Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · forecast models, provisional until the ERA5 reanalysis arrives

    Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
    5 Nov 39.7 °C 19 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
    6 Nov 39.5 °C 18 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
    7 Nov 37.0 °C 15 % 24 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 43
    8 Nov 38.3 °C 14 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 55
    9 Nov 37.3 °C 13 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 62
    10 Nov 34.8 °C 9 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 68
    11 Nov 35.2 °C 10 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 62
    12 Nov 35.9 °C 11 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 56
    13 Nov 36.9 °C 10 % 21 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 50
    14 Nov 37.5 °C 11 % 29 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 62
    15 Nov 38.2 °C 12 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 62

    Before and after, from space

    Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

    Before · 29 Oct 2026
    After · 15 Nov 2026

    If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

    The smoke

    CAMS · Copernicus

    On 31 October 2026 the air beside the fire reached 64 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 48: 3.2 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

    PM2.5 peak64 µg/m³
    Days over the guideline12 days
    PM10130 µg/m³
    Optical depth0.90
    31 Oct3 Nov6 Nov9 Nov
    Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

    Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

    Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

    Detections table · 390Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
    ⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
    Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

    Other fires nearby

    All fires in South Sudan

    Frequently asked questions

    How long did the Aweil Centre fire last?
    According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 5 November 2026 to 15 November 2026 (11 days). The perimeter dates it from 9 November 2026 to 13 November 2026.
    How much area did it burn?
    The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 15,979 hectares (159.8 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
    Which municipalities burned?
    The fire only entered Aweil Centre (16,077 ha, 1.4 %).
    Is the Aweil Centre fire still active?
    Yes: satellites detected fire on 15 Nov 2026, 12:10 UTC. Check the emergency service for the official status.
    What was the weather like?
    During the fire the temperature reached 39.7 °C, humidity dropped to 9 % and gusts hit 38 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 68, class Extreme.
    What weather is expected at the fire over the next 72 hours?
    The wind is blowing from the east and pushing westwards; no sharp shifts are expected until Thu 19, 00:00. No overnight recovery: humidity stays at or below 37 % (Mon 16, 20:00 – Tue 17, 07:00). No overnight recovery: humidity stays at or below 29 % (Tue 17, 20:00 – Wed 18, 07:00). Times are local time at the fire. ECMWF IFS forecast (Open-Meteo) computed 15 Nov 2026, 23:21 UTC; this is not an official warning.
    Where does this data come from?
    From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of South Sudan (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.

    Where to verify it

    A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

    Satellite cross-check

    History of this page · 5 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 12 November 2026.
    1. Mapped perimeter arrives: from ≈ 5,670 ha estimated from hotspots to 15,979 ha.
    2. Start date: 3 November 2026 → 5 November 2026.
    3. Area: ≈ 5,796 → ≈ 5,670 ha.
    4. Start date: 2 November 2026 → 3 November 2026.
    5. Page published (≈ 5,796 ha).

    RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

    Does something look wrong on this page?

    This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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    How we know this
    • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery; 2 polygons grouped in this page.
    • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 9 November 2026 to 13 November 2026. 390 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
    • We have not matched this page with any official record.
    • Weather: ECMWF IFS model, provisional until the ERA5 reanalysis arrives.

    How we build fire pages: methodology

    Where this data comes from

    The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.