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MG · Madagascar · –

Antsohihy fire, 8 November 2020 Antsohihy, Befandriana Nord

Out · last detection 20 Nov 2020, 21:42 UTC

The fire started on 8 November 2020 in Antsohihy, Madagascar, and satellites saw it burning for 13 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 3,225 hectares from heat detections, spread across 2 municipalities.

It is the 31th largest in Sofia since 2016 (of 116 with a page). Number 18 in Madagascar in 2020, of 50.

Burnt area
3,225ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
13days
8 Nov 2020 – 20 Nov 2020
Municipalities hit
2
districts
Started on
8 Nov
2020
Heat detections
109
in a single hotspot: 214 MW
Danger at start
40
Very high · FWI index
Average daily power
411MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 8 Nov20 Nov
20 Nov 2020

How it evolved, day by day

8 Nov 2020 · 30 MW · 5 9 Nov 2020 · 1,263 MW · 41 10 Nov 2020 · 1,089 MW · 40 11 Nov 2020 · 406 MW · 17 12 Nov 2020 · 24 MW · 3 14 Nov 2020 · 6 MW · 1 20 Nov 2020 · 62 MW · 2
9 Nov 12 Nov 20 Nov

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

37°high
50km/h · peak gust
17%lowest humidity

It had gone 27 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started. Rain came after the fire: 4.1 mm on 21 Nov.

This area had burned before

18% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 576 ha in 2016.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 2% of the area of London (32 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Antsohihy where it started
    3,236 ha reached on 8 Nov
    0.7 %
  2. 13 ha reached on 11 Nov
    0.0 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2020
Built-up area1.3 ha
Residents≈ 600

Inside the perimeter there were about 1.3 hectares of built-up land and about 600 residents (GHSL 2020, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
8 Nov 34.8 °C 35 % 48 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
9 Nov 34.5 °C 29 % 50 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44
10 Nov 36.0 °C 27 % 46 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 43
11 Nov 36.8 °C 26 % 34 km/h 1.5 mm High 31
12 Nov 33.3 °C 45 % 42 km/h 5.2 mm Low 10
13 Nov 32.5 °C 57 % 37 km/h 2.8 mm Low 7
14 Nov 33.9 °C 45 % 36 km/h 3.4 mm Low 7
15 Nov 33.9 °C 39 % 50 km/h 2.4 mm Moderate 14
16 Nov 36.0 °C 29 % 43 km/h 0.0 mm High 27
17 Nov 35.5 °C 28 % 31 km/h 1.1 mm High 23
18 Nov 36.7 °C 18 % 36 km/h 1.6 mm High 27
19 Nov 36.7 °C 17 % 39 km/h 0.7 mm Very high 38
20 Nov 35.1 °C 37 % 37 km/h 1.8 mm Moderate 20
21 Nov after 35.3 °C 43 % 31 km/h 4.1 mm Low 8

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 40.5, a minimum humidity of 35% and 27 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 16.

FWI at the start 40.5
Minimum humidity 35 %
Days without rain 27
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Mampikony fire, September 2021
2,157 ha 5 days FWI 42.2 Min. humidity 34 % 117 km away, in 2021

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: 2.1 mm on 8 Oct.

What happened to them

5 days
median duration
2,300 ha
median area
100 %
went past 1,000 ha
2.2 mm
rain at the end (median; 11 of 16 had it)

It burned an area similar to its twins (3,225 ha against a median of 2,300 ha) and lasted 13 days, against 5 days.

In 5 of 16, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.2 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

4.1 mmfirst rain
21 Novthe day after it ended
50km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 20 Nov, and on 21 Nov 4.1 mm fell. We do not know whether the rain or the firefighters put it out. Twins with rain when they ended: 11 of 16, with a median of 2.2 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 1 Nov 2020
After · 27 Nov 2020

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

Detections table · 109Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Madagascar

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Antsohihy fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 8 November 2020 to 20 November 2020 (13 days). The perimeter dates it from 8 November 2020 to 14 November 2020.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 3,225 hectares (32.2 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire entered 2 municipalities: Antsohihy (3,236 ha, 0.7 %); Befandriana Nord (13 ha, 0.0 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 36.8 °C, humidity dropped to 17 % and gusts hit 50 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 44, class Very high.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Madagascar (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 16. Their median duration was 5 days and their median area 2,300 ha; 100 % went past 1,000 ha. In 5 of 16, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.2 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 1 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Last day with fire: 14 November 2020 → 20 November 2020.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 8 November 2020 to 14 November 2020. 109 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2020, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.