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SD · Sudan · –

Al Kurmuk fire, 29 December 2016 Al Kurmuk

Out · last detection 1 Jan 2017, 10:48 UTC

The fire started on 29 December 2016 in Al Kurmuk, Sudan, and satellites saw it burning for 4 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 2,252 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 49th largest in Blue Nile since 2016 (of 69 with a page). Number 129 in Sudan in 2016, of 169.

The power measured by the satellite is low (13.7 MW in the strongest hotspot), more typical of grass or stubble burning, or a slow surface fire, than of a large crown fire.

Compare with…
Burnt area
2,252ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
4days
29 Dec 2016 – 1 Jan 2017
Municipalities hit
1
localities
Started on
29 Dec
2016
Heat detections
57
in a single hotspot: 14 MW
Danger at start
56
Extreme · FWI index
Average daily power
67MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 29 Dec1 Jan
1 Jan 2017

How it evolved, day by day

29 Dec 2016 · 21 MW · 7 30 Dec 2016 · 130 MW · 20 31 Dec 2016 · 112 MW · 29 1 Jan 2017 · 6 MW · 1
29 Dec 30 Dec 31 Dec 1 Jan

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

38°high
44km/h · peak gust
11%lowest humidity

It had gone 49 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

No earlier perimeters overlap this fire since 2016, when the satellite record begins.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 1.4% of the area of London (23 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Al Kurmuk where it started
    2,270 ha reached on 29 Dec
    0.2 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2015
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2015, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
29 Dec 37.1 °C 15 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 56
30 Dec 37.5 °C 14 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 67
31 Dec 37.4 °C 11 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 70
1 Jan 38.0 °C 12 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 59
2 Jan after 37.4 °C 10 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 69
3 Jan after 36.7 °C 14 % 43 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 73
4 Jan after 36.6 °C 13 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 70
5 Jan after 37.1 °C 12 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 64
6 Jan after 37.6 °C 8 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 63
7 Jan after 37.5 °C 5 % 45 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 84
8 Jan after 36.8 °C 8 % 46 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 85
9 Jan after 36.5 °C 12 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 81
10 Jan after 37.8 °C 11 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 70
11 Jan after 38.1 °C 7 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 76

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 56.3, a minimum humidity of 15% and 49 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 52.

FWI at the start 56.3
Minimum humidity 15 %
Days without rain 49
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Baw fire, January 2016
2,559 ha 5 days FWI 57.1 Min. humidity 16 % 84 km away, in 2016

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

6 days
median duration
2,678 ha
median area
100 %
went past 1,000 ha
1.2 mm
rain at the end (median; 3 of 52 had it)

It burned an area similar to its twins (2,252 ha against a median of 2,678 ha) and lasted 4 days, against 6 days.

In 49 of 52, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 1.2 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
44km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 1 Jan, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain. Twins with rain when they ended: 3 of 52, with a median of 1.2 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 22 Dec 2016
After · 8 Jan 2017

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

Detections table · 57Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Sudan

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Al Kurmuk fire last?
GWIS (Copernicus) dates it between 29 December 2016 and 1 January 2017: 4 days between the first and last heat detection of the perimeter.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 2,252 hectares (22.5 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Al Kurmuk (2,270 ha, 0.2 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 38.0 °C, humidity dropped to 11 % and gusts hit 44 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 70, class Very extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Sudan (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 52. Their median duration was 6 days and their median area 2,678 ha; 100 % went past 1,000 ha. In 49 of 52, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 1.2 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates from the perimeter: the VIIRS detections inside it did not change them. 57 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2015, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.