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SD · Sudan · –

Al Kurmuk fire, 15 November 2016 Al Kurmuk

Out · last detection 2 Dec 2016, 10:11 UTC

The fire started on 15 November 2016 in Al Kurmuk, Sudan, and satellites saw it burning for 17 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 2,994 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 26th largest in Blue Nile since 2016 (of 69 with a page). Number 72 in Sudan in 2016, of 169.

Compare with…
Burnt area
2,994ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
17days
15 Nov 2016 – 1 Dec 2016
Municipalities hit
1
localities
Started on
15 Nov
2016
Heat detections
98
in a single hotspot: 92 MW
Danger at start
46
Very high · FWI index
Average daily power
112MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 15 Nov1 Dec
2 Dec 2016

How it evolved, day by day

15 Nov 2016 · 36 MW · 4 16 Nov 2016 · 237 MW · 9 18 Nov 2016 · 145 MW · 22 19 Nov 2016 · 55 MW · 10 20 Nov 2016 · 4 MW · 1 22 Nov 2016 · 134 MW · 9 23 Nov 2016 · 25 MW · 5 24 Nov 2016 · 3 MW · 1 25 Nov 2016 · 50 MW · 5 26 Nov 2016 · 324 MW · 7 27 Nov 2016 · 535 MW · 21 28 Nov 2016 · 6 MW · 1 1 Dec 2016 · 2 MW · 1 2 Dec 2016 · 13 MW · 2
15 Nov 19 Nov 23 Nov 27 Nov

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

40°high
40km/h · peak gust
10%lowest humidity

It had gone 24 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

No earlier perimeters overlap this fire since 2016, when the satellite record begins.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 1.9% of the area of London (30 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Al Kurmuk where it started
    2,476 ha reached on 15 Nov
    0.2 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2015
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2015, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
15 Nov 39.0 °C 16 % 24 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
16 Nov 39.5 °C 10 % 24 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 59
17 Nov 38.7 °C 12 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 65
18 Nov 37.7 °C 19 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 66
19 Nov 38.3 °C 19 % 29 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
20 Nov 38.3 °C 23 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 53
21 Nov 39.1 °C 15 % 24 km/h 0.0 mm High 38
22 Nov 39.1 °C 16 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
23 Nov 38.0 °C 15 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 56
24 Nov 37.4 °C 17 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 55
25 Nov 36.5 °C 12 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 56
26 Nov 37.0 °C 11 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 54
27 Nov 37.8 °C 14 % 29 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 58
28 Nov 38.4 °C 12 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 64
29 Nov 38.8 °C 15 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 56
30 Nov 38.1 °C 19 % 24 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 53
1 Dec 38.3 °C 18 % 19 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
2 Dec after 36.8 °C 19 % 29 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 56
3 Dec after 38.1 °C 19 % 29 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 57
4 Dec after 38.5 °C 19 % 25 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 50
5 Dec after 38.5 °C 15 % 23 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
6 Dec after 39.1 °C 8 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 65
7 Dec after 38.4 °C 12 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 78
8 Dec after 38.5 °C 12 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 80
9 Dec after 38.2 °C 15 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 77
10 Dec after 38.1 °C 16 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 78
11 Dec after 38.7 °C 15 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 71

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 46.2, a minimum humidity of 16% and 24 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 24.

FWI at the start 46.2
Minimum humidity 16 %
Days without rain 24
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Al Kurmuk fire, December 2017
7,153 ha 5 days FWI 44.6 Min. humidity 16 % 120 km away, in 2017

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

12 days
median duration
4,584 ha
median area
8 %
went past 10,000 ha
—
rain at the end (median; 0 of 24 had it)

It stayed below its twins: 2,994 ha against a median of 4,584 ha. It lasted 17 days, against 12 days.

In none of them did 1 mm fall in the ten days after the end: they all went out without rain.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
40km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 1 Dec, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain. None of its 24 twins had rain when they ended.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 8 Nov 2016
After · 8 Dec 2016

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

Detections table · 98Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Sudan

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Al Kurmuk fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 15 November 2016 to 1 December 2016 (17 days). The perimeter dates it from 22 November 2016 to 27 November 2016.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 2,994 hectares (29.9 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Al Kurmuk (2,476 ha, 0.2 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 39.5 °C, humidity dropped to 10 % and gusts hit 40 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 66, class Extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Sudan (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 24. Their median duration was 12 days and their median area 4,584 ha; 8 % went past 10,000 ha. In none of them did 1 mm fall in the ten days after the end: they all went out without rain.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 2 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Last day with fire: 27 November 2016 → 1 December 2016.
  2. Start date: 22 November 2016 → 15 November 2016.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 22 November 2016 to 27 November 2016. 98 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2015, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.