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SD · Sudan · –

Al Kurmuk fire, 20 November 2016 Al Kurmuk

Out · last detection 29 Nov 2016, 11:07 UTC

The fire started on 20 November 2016 in Al Kurmuk, Sudan, and satellites saw it burning for 10 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 2,189 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 52th largest in Blue Nile since 2016 (of 69 with a page). Number 136 in Sudan in 2016, of 169.

The power measured by the satellite is low (15.4 MW in the strongest hotspot), more typical of grass or stubble burning, or a slow surface fire, than of a large crown fire.

Burnt area
2,189ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
10days
20 Nov 2016 – 29 Nov 2016
Municipalities hit
1
localities
Started on
20 Nov
2016
Heat detections
36
in a single hotspot: 15 MW
Danger at start
34
High · FWI index
Average daily power
38MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 20 Nov29 Nov
29 Nov 2016

How it evolved, day by day

21 Nov 2016 · 122 MW · 21 22 Nov 2016 · 37 MW · 7 26 Nov 2016 · 21 MW · 4 28 Nov 2016 · 7 MW · 2 29 Nov 2016 · 6 MW · 2
21 Nov 22 Nov 26 Nov 28 Nov 29 Nov

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

37°high
44km/h · peak gust
14%lowest humidity

It had gone 10 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

No earlier perimeters overlap this fire since 2016, when the satellite record begins.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 1.4% of the area of London (22 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Al Kurmuk where it started
    2,205 ha reached on 21 Nov
    0.2 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2015
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2015, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
20 Nov 36.5 °C 24 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm High 34
21 Nov 36.8 °C 14 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm High 36
22 Nov 36.9 °C 15 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
23 Nov 34.7 °C 22 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
24 Nov 34.5 °C 23 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 39
25 Nov 33.8 °C 14 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
26 Nov 34.3 °C 14 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 38
27 Nov 34.7 °C 17 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
28 Nov 35.4 °C 14 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
29 Nov 35.9 °C 16 % 29 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
30 Nov after 36.2 °C 21 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
1 Dec after 35.4 °C 21 % 29 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
2 Dec after 33.5 °C 22 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44
3 Dec after 35.9 °C 20 % 23 km/h 0.0 mm High 38
4 Dec after 36.9 °C 12 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
5 Dec after 36.2 °C 12 % 23 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44
6 Dec after 36.1 °C 9 % 23 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
7 Dec after 35.2 °C 14 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
8 Dec after 35.3 °C 14 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 54
9 Dec after 35.0 °C 17 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 34.1, a minimum humidity of 24% and 10 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 38.

FWI at the start 34.1
Minimum humidity 24 %
Days without rain 10
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Sirba Abay fire, November 2017
2,871 ha 30 days FWI 34.5 Min. humidity 24 % 88 km away, in 2017

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

12 days
median duration
3,364 ha
median area
8 %
went past 10,000 ha
2.5 mm
rain at the end (median; 3 of 38 had it)

It stayed below its twins: 2,189 ha against a median of 3,364 ha. It lasted 10 days, against 12 days.

In 35 of 38, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.5 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
44km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 29 Nov, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain. Twins with rain when they ended: 3 of 38, with a median of 2.5 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 13 Nov 2016
After · 6 Dec 2016

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

Detections table · 36Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Sudan

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Al Kurmuk fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 20 November 2016 to 29 November 2016 (10 days). The perimeter dates it from 20 November 2016 to 24 November 2016.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 2,189 hectares (21.9 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Al Kurmuk (2,205 ha, 0.2 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 36.9 °C, humidity dropped to 14 % and gusts hit 44 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 46, class Very high.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Sudan (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 38. Their median duration was 12 days and their median area 3,364 ha; 8 % went past 10,000 ha. In 35 of 38, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.5 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 1 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Last day with fire: 24 November 2016 → 29 November 2016.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 20 November 2016 to 24 November 2016. 36 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2015, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.