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SD · Sudan · –

Abyei PCA area fire, 7 November 2021 Abyei PCA area

Out · last detection 15 Nov 2021, 11:33 UTC

The fire started on 7 November 2021 in Abyei PCA area, Sudan, and satellites saw it burning for 14 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 2,079 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 47th largest in Abyei PCA since 2016 (of 57 with a page). Number 136 in Sudan in 2021, of 149.

The power measured by the satellite is low (17.6 MW in the strongest hotspot), more typical of grass or stubble burning, or a slow surface fire, than of a large crown fire.

Burnt area
2,079ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
14days
7 Nov 2021 – 20 Nov 2021
Municipalities hit
1
localities
Started on
7 Nov
2021
Heat detections
45
in a single hotspot: 18 MW
Danger at start
27
High · FWI index
Average daily power
42MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 7 Nov20 Nov
15 Nov 2021

How it evolved, day by day

7 Nov 2021 · 56 MW · 5 9 Nov 2021 · 22 MW · 5 10 Nov 2021 · 14 MW · 6 11 Nov 2021 · 2 MW · 2 12 Nov 2021 · 23 MW · 5 13 Nov 2021 · 134 MW · 15 15 Nov 2021 · 42 MW · 7
7 Nov 10 Nov 13 Nov

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

39°high
37km/h · peak gust
11%lowest humidity

It had gone 11 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

75% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 1,413 ha in 2016, 630 ha in 2017. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 1,549 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 1.3% of the area of London (21 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Abyei PCA area where it started
    2,092 ha reached on 7 Nov
    0.2 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2020
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2020, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
7 Nov 36.9 °C 26 % 19 km/h 0.0 mm High 27
8 Nov 36.8 °C 24 % 17 km/h 0.0 mm High 29
9 Nov 36.9 °C 25 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm High 32
10 Nov 37.7 °C 23 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm High 35
11 Nov 37.0 °C 21 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm High 33
12 Nov 36.5 °C 23 % 21 km/h 0.0 mm High 32
13 Nov 37.7 °C 22 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm High 33
14 Nov 38.7 °C 11 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
15 Nov 38.5 °C 11 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44
16 Nov 37.7 °C 14 % 19 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
17 Nov 39.0 °C 12 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
18 Nov 38.8 °C 16 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
19 Nov 38.6 °C 16 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
20 Nov 38.0 °C 14 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 56
21 Nov after 37.2 °C 11 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 58
22 Nov after 37.0 °C 10 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 56
23 Nov after 37.0 °C 10 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 56
24 Nov after 37.5 °C 12 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 56
25 Nov after 38.0 °C 11 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 56
26 Nov after 38.2 °C 10 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 57
27 Nov after 38.5 °C 13 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 55
28 Nov after 39.0 °C 17 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
29 Nov after 38.5 °C 17 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
30 Nov after 38.5 °C 18 % 22 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 27.1, a minimum humidity of 26% and 11 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 23.

FWI at the start 27.1
Minimum humidity 26 %
Days without rain 11
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Abyei PCA area fire, October 2016
2,066 ha 6 days FWI 27.3 Min. humidity 24 % 8 km away, in 2016

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

10 days
median duration
3,096 ha
median area
100 %
went past 1,000 ha
1.0 mm
rain at the end (median; 3 of 23 had it)

It burned an area similar to its twins (2,079 ha against a median of 3,096 ha) and lasted 14 days, against 10 days.

In 20 of 23, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 1.0 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
37km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 20 Nov, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain. Twins with rain when they ended: 3 of 23, with a median of 1.0 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 31 Oct 2021
After · 27 Nov 2021

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

Detections table · 45Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Sudan

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Abyei PCA area fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 7 November 2021 to 20 November 2021 (14 days). The perimeter dates it from 7 November 2021 to 15 November 2021.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 2,079 hectares (20.8 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Abyei PCA area (2,092 ha, 0.2 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 39.0 °C, humidity dropped to 11 % and gusts hit 37 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 56, class Extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Sudan (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 23. Their median duration was 10 days and their median area 3,096 ha; 100 % went past 1,000 ha. In 20 of 23, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 1.0 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 1 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Last day with fire: 15 November 2021 → 20 November 2021.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 7 November 2021 to 15 November 2021. 45 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2020, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.