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SS · South Sudan · –

Raga fire, 1 January 2025 Raga

Out · last detection 17 Jan 2025, 23:37 UTC

The fire started on 1 January 2025 in Raga, South Sudan, and satellites saw it burning for 17 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 22,558 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 38th largest in Western Bahr el Ghazal since 2016 (of 338 with a page). Number 5 in South Sudan in 2025, of 57.

Compare with…
Burnt area
22,558ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
17days
1 Jan 2025 – 17 Jan 2025
Municipalities hit
1
counties
Started on
1 Jan
2025
Heat detections
1,107
in a single hotspot: 0 MW
Danger at start
58
Extreme · FWI index
Average daily power
371MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 1 Jan17 Jan
17 Jan 2025

How it evolved, day by day

1 Jan 2025 · 293 MW · 83 2 Jan 2025 · 1,396 MW · 127 3 Jan 2025 · 1,050 MW · 109 4 Jan 2025 · 453 MW · 77 5 Jan 2025 · 657 MW · 91 6 Jan 2025 · 233 MW · 106 7 Jan 2025 · 399 MW · 66 8 Jan 2025 · 189 MW · 61 9 Jan 2025 · 538 MW · 62 10 Jan 2025 · 355 MW · 69 11 Jan 2025 · 369 MW · 133 12 Jan 2025 · 168 MW · 55 13 Jan 2025 · 18 MW · 12 14 Jan 2025 · 52 MW · 12 15 Jan 2025 · 75 MW · 23 16 Jan 2025 · 52 MW · 15 17 Jan 2025 · 12 MW · 6
2 Jan 5 Jan 9 Jan 13 Jan 17 Jan

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

37°high
43km/h · peak gust
10%lowest humidity

It had gone 45 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

99% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 18,108 ha in 2016, 4,986 ha in 2017, 3,870 ha in 2018, 13,657 ha in 2019, 9,790 ha in 2020, 3,210 ha in 2021, 13,231 ha in 2022, 767 ha in 2023, 5,452 ha in 2024. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 22,402 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 14% of the area of London (226 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Raga where it started
    22,701 ha
    0.4 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2025
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2025, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned. The GHSL 2025 epoch is a projection made from 2020 and earlier data.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Started with Very dry air: 33 % of the area in South Sudan

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
1 Jan 32.5 °C 11 % 43 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 58
2 Jan 33.5 °C 14 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 55
3 Jan 34.6 °C 13 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
4 Jan 36.5 °C 14 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
5 Jan 36.9 °C 12 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
6 Jan 35.5 °C 12 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 57
7 Jan 33.8 °C 10 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 57
8 Jan 34.8 °C 12 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 54
9 Jan 34.8 °C 11 % 29 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
10 Jan 35.2 °C 12 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 56
11 Jan 34.4 °C 12 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 58
12 Jan 32.8 °C 14 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 57
13 Jan 33.9 °C 12 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 53
14 Jan 34.8 °C 12 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 53
15 Jan 35.8 °C 11 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 54
16 Jan 36.5 °C 12 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 55
17 Jan 36.9 °C 17 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 55
18 Jan after 37.8 °C 15 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 56
19 Jan after 37.0 °C 15 % 21 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
20 Jan after 36.3 °C 16 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
21 Jan after 35.5 °C 16 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 53
22 Jan after 37.1 °C 9 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
23 Jan after 36.1 °C 10 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 57
24 Jan after 35.0 °C 11 % 43 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 61
25 Jan after 34.7 °C 10 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 57
26 Jan after 35.4 °C 8 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 56
27 Jan after 34.6 °C 9 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 59

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 57.8, a minimum humidity of 11% and 45 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 30.

FWI at the start 57.8
Minimum humidity 11 %
Days without rain 45
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Wau fire, December 2021
7,227 ha 14 days FWI 55.9 Min. humidity 11 % 72 km away, in 2021

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

14 days
median duration
8,344 ha
median area
27 %
went past 10,000 ha
—
rain at the end (median; 0 of 30 had it)

It was 2.7 times larger than the median of its twins and lasted 17 days, against 14 days.

Only 3 of its 30 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In none of them did 1 mm fall in the ten days after the end: they all went out without rain.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
43km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 17 Jan, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain. None of its 30 twins had rain when they ended.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 25 Dec 2024
After · 24 Jan 2025

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 8 January 2025 the air beside the fire reached 84 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 51: 3.4 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak84 µg/m³
Days over the guideline19 days
PM10111 µg/m³
Optical depth0.85
30 Dec4 Jan9 Jan14 Jan19 Jan
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 0Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in South Sudan

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Raga fire last?
GWIS (Copernicus) dates it between 1 January 2025 and 17 January 2025: 17 days between the first and last heat detection of the perimeter.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 22,558 hectares (225.6 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Raga (22,701 ha, 0.4 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 36.9 °C, humidity dropped to 10 % and gusts hit 43 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 58, class Extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of South Sudan (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 30. Their median duration was 14 days and their median area 8,344 ha; 27 % went past 10,000 ha. Only 3 of its 30 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In none of them did 1 mm fall in the ten days after the end: they all went out without rain.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 4 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Last day with fire: 22 January 2025 → 17 January 2025.
  2. Start date: 31 December 2024 → 1 January 2025.
  3. Last day with fire: 17 January 2025 → 22 January 2025.
  4. Start date: 1 January 2025 → 31 December 2024.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery; 2 polygons grouped in this page.
  • Dates from the perimeter: the VIIRS detections inside it did not change them. No Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2025, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.