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Rafaï fire, 5 January 2026 Rafaï

Out · last detection 14 Jan 2026, 23:55 UTC

The fire started on 5 January 2026 in Rafaï, Central African Republic, and satellites saw it burning for 14 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 10,703 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 33th largest in Mbomou since 2016 (of 80 with a page). Number 39 in Central African Republic in 2026, of 148.

Burnt area
10,703ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
14days
5 Jan 2026 – 18 Jan 2026
Municipalities hit
1
sub-prefectures
Started on
5 Jan
2026
Heat detections
323
in a single hotspot: 47 MW
Danger at start
45
Very high · FWI index
Energy released
2.1GW
sum of detected power

Where it burned

14 Jan 2026
HOTSPOTS BY DAY 5 Jan18 Jan

How it evolved, day by day

567891011121314

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

36°high
43km/h · peak gust
12%lowest humidity

It had gone 26 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

100% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 12,401 ha in 2016, 891 ha in 2017, 20 ha in 2018, 15,921 ha in 2020, 12 ha in 2022, 2,638 ha in 2023, 588 ha in 2024. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 10,770 ha that had burned before.

What happened to each town

  1. Rafaï where it started
    10,787 ha reached on 5 Jan
    0.4 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance is from the town centre to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
5 Jan 35.5 °C 13 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
6 Jan 35.8 °C 12 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
7 Jan 35.7 °C 13 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 50
8 Jan 36.5 °C 13 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
9 Jan 35.9 °C 16 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
10 Jan 34.4 °C 17 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
11 Jan 35.1 °C 16 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
12 Jan 34.9 °C 16 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
13 Jan 36.0 °C 14 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 54
14 Jan 34.8 °C 15 % 43 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 57
15 Jan 35.0 °C 14 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 56
16 Jan 34.9 °C 14 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 55
17 Jan 35.1 °C 12 % 29 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 50
18 Jan 35.9 °C 12 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
19 Jan after 36.3 °C 13 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 53
20 Jan after 36.6 °C 14 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
21 Jan after 37.1 °C 16 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 53
22 Jan after 36.6 °C 16 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
23 Jan after 35.5 °C 24 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
24 Jan after 37.1 °C 17 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
25 Jan after 38.0 °C 12 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
26 Jan after 38.1 °C 10 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 58
27 Jan after 36.7 °C 13 % 23 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 50
28 Jan after 36.0 °C 14 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 50

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 29 Dec 2025
After · 25 Jan 2026

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 11 January 2026 the air beside the fire reached 60 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 49: 3.3 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak60 µg/m³
Days over the guideline19 days
PM1084 µg/m³
Optical depth0.83
3456789101112131415161718192021
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 323Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Central African Republic ›

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Rafaï fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 5 January 2026 to 18 January 2026 (14 days). The perimeter dates it from 5 January 2026 to 15 January 2026.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 10,703 hectares (107.0 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Rafaï (10,787 ha, 0.4 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 36.5 °C, humidity dropped to 12 % and gusts hit 43 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 57, class Extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Central African Republic (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM3 (Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.