Prymorsk fire, July 2026
Приморський район · Ukraine
Out · last detection 29 Sept 2026, 11:17 UTC
Satellites first detected fire on 21 July 2026 in Prymorsk, Ukraine. It was active for 71 days, with 96 heat detections and an area with fire of about 168 hectares rebuilt from them, spread across a single municipality.
The power measured by the satellite is low (16.1 MW in the strongest hotspot), more typical of grass or stubble burning, or a slow surface fire, than of a large crown fire.
matches the official recordwith caveatssatellite onlymodel
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Burned area
satellite only
≈ 168ha
Estimated from hotspots: no perimeter has been published yet.
Source
NASA FIRMS · VIIRS
Date
21 Jul 2026 – 29 Sept 2026
+− cross-check
This is an estimate from the VIIRS pixels that saw fire. It will change when the perimeter is published.
Duration by satellite
satellite only
71days
21 Jul 2026 to 29 Sept 2026: first and last day with fire on the page.
Source
NASA FIRMS · VIIRS
Date
last detection: 29 Sept 2026, 11:17 UTC
+− cross-check
Satellites pass a few times a day and cloud or smoke can hide the fire: a lack of detections is not an official extinction. Each country’s emergency service declares a fire contained or out.
Start
satellite only
21 Jul 2026
First day with fire seen by the satellites or the perimeter.
Source
NASA FIRMS · VIIRS
Date
21 Jul 2026
+− cross-check
No official record is matched to this page, so the alert time and the cause are not known here.
Hotspots
satellite only
96
VIIRS detections at 375 m. Most intense hotspot: 16 MW.
Source
NASA FIRMS · VIIRS (Suomi NPP + NOAA-20)
Date
21 Jul 2026 – 29 Sept 2026
+− cross-check
There is no official record to compare with. Each hotspot is a pixel detected in one satellite pass, not a separate fire.
The worst day
satellite only
89MW
Total radiative power on 12 August 2026; hotspots that day: 10.
Source
NASA FIRMS · VIIRS (FRP)
Date
12 Aug 2026
+− cross-check
Fire radiative power (FRP) measures the energy the fire gives off when the satellite passes. Added up by day, it compares intensity, not area.
Danger at the start
model
31.6FWI · high
Fire Weather Index (Canadian system) computed by WorldFires for the day the fire started. Consecutive days without rain before: 10.
This is an index computed from weather model data, not a measurement of the fire nor an official warning. Danger warnings are issued by each country’s authority. Emergency number and official warnings ›
Weather during the fire
model
33.9°C · 27% RH
High of 33.9 °C and minimum humidity of 27% on 5 August 2026; gusts of 60 km/h on 23 September 2026.
These are model values for a cell of about 25 km, not from a weather station: they may differ from what was measured on the ground.
ⓘThis page’s change log has been kept since 24 October 2026: every night what it publishes is compared and the difference is logged. Anything earlier is reconstructed from each source’s date and marked as reconstructed.
A version keeps the area, dates, name and official record; the area as it was logged (changes under 2% are not logged). The map, hotspots and weather always show today’s data.
Citation
A lede of about 60 words figures only, no adjectives
Copernicus has not yet published the burnt perimeter, which takes a few days to measure on satellite imagery. For now the area is the one rebuilt from heat detections (about 14 hectares per pixel). When the perimeter arrives, this page picks it up on its own and keeps the same address.
Area with fire
≈ 168ha
rebuilt from hotspots, no official perimeter yet
Duration
71days
21 Jul 2026 – 29 Sept 2026
Municipalities hit
0
districts
Started on
21 Jul
2026
Heat detections
96
in a single hotspot: 16 MW
Danger at start
32
High · FWI index
Average daily power
15MW
detected power per day, on average
Where it burned
HOTSPOTS BY DAY
21 Jul29 Sept
Play back29 Sept 2026
How it evolved, day by day
21 Jul12 Aug3 Sept13 Sept
Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.
The weather it burned in
34°high
60km/h · peak gust
16%lowest humidity
It had gone 10 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started. Rain came after the fire: 1.5 mm on 30 Sept.
The weather day by day
ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.
Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)
Day
High
Min. humidity
Peak gust
Rain
Danger (FWI)
21 Jul
30.7 °C
36 %
25 km/h
0.0 mm
High 32
22 Jul
30.2 °C
27 %
27 km/h
0.0 mm
High 34
23 Jul
22.8 °C
54 %
43 km/h
9.7 mm
Low 6
24 Jul
27.0 °C
44 %
36 km/h
1.3 mm
Low 6
25 Jul
24.8 °C
57 %
34 km/h
9.6 mm
Moderate 12
26 Jul
27.1 °C
42 %
43 km/h
4.1 mm
Low 5
27 Jul
28.7 °C
38 %
35 km/h
0.0 mm
High 22
28 Jul
27.3 °C
42 %
40 km/h
2.8 mm
High 24
29 Jul
25.1 °C
32 %
43 km/h
0.0 mm
Moderate 17
30 Jul
26.9 °C
29 %
38 km/h
0.0 mm
High 27
31 Jul
29.3 °C
31 %
32 km/h
0.0 mm
High 25
1 Aug
30.9 °C
34 %
27 km/h
0.0 mm
High 23
2 Aug
31.7 °C
35 %
34 km/h
0.0 mm
High 35
3 Aug
31.7 °C
33 %
42 km/h
0.0 mm
Very high 44
4 Aug
32.3 °C
33 %
40 km/h
0.0 mm
Very high 45
5 Aug
33.9 °C
27 %
30 km/h
0.0 mm
High 35
6 Aug
33.7 °C
23 %
38 km/h
0.0 mm
Very high 45
7 Aug
33.7 °C
26 %
56 km/h
0.0 mm
Very extreme 72
8 Aug
33.6 °C
29 %
37 km/h
0.0 mm
Very high 49
9 Aug
32.8 °C
40 %
40 km/h
1.2 mm
Extreme 50
10 Aug
31.9 °C
44 %
33 km/h
0.2 mm
High 24
11 Aug
32.6 °C
42 %
26 km/h
0.0 mm
High 26
12 Aug
31.9 °C
35 %
41 km/h
1.0 mm
High 37
13 Aug
25.6 °C
28 %
44 km/h
0.0 mm
Very high 43
14 Aug
25.6 °C
25 %
34 km/h
0.0 mm
Very high 41
15 Aug
26.1 °C
27 %
30 km/h
0.0 mm
High 36
16 Aug
27.7 °C
29 %
28 km/h
0.0 mm
High 37
17 Aug
29.8 °C
24 %
22 km/h
0.0 mm
Very high 40
18 Aug
31.5 °C
24 %
31 km/h
0.0 mm
Very high 47
19 Aug
27.8 °C
40 %
32 km/h
0.0 mm
Very high 40
20 Aug
29.6 °C
31 %
30 km/h
0.0 mm
High 36
21 Aug
29.9 °C
38 %
32 km/h
0.0 mm
Very high 47
22 Aug
32.5 °C
22 %
46 km/h
0.0 mm
Extreme 68
23 Aug
33.7 °C
26 %
42 km/h
0.0 mm
High 38
24 Aug
29.0 °C
25 %
40 km/h
0.0 mm
Extreme 56
25 Aug
29.2 °C
22 %
26 km/h
0.0 mm
High 36
26 Aug
28.3 °C
31 %
32 km/h
0.0 mm
Very high 47
27 Aug
27.1 °C
33 %
40 km/h
0.6 mm
Extreme 52
28 Aug
26.0 °C
40 %
41 km/h
0.9 mm
High 36
29 Aug
29.4 °C
28 %
49 km/h
0.0 mm
Extreme 66
30 Aug
27.9 °C
24 %
48 km/h
0.0 mm
Extreme 66
31 Aug
27.8 °C
17 %
45 km/h
0.0 mm
Extreme 66
1 Sept
28.2 °C
19 %
36 km/h
0.0 mm
Extreme 51
2 Sept
30.5 °C
16 %
17 km/h
0.0 mm
High 37
3 Sept
29.6 °C
26 %
30 km/h
0.0 mm
Very high 44
4 Sept
29.1 °C
26 %
22 km/h
0.0 mm
High 37
5 Sept
30.1 °C
32 %
41 km/h
0.0 mm
Extreme 64
6 Sept
24.9 °C
38 %
39 km/h
6.1 mm
Very low 5
7 Sept
21.6 °C
41 %
46 km/h
0.0 mm
High 22
8 Sept
23.7 °C
29 %
33 km/h
0.0 mm
High 36
9 Sept
25.4 °C
30 %
19 km/h
0.0 mm
High 28
10 Sept
27.2 °C
35 %
25 km/h
0.0 mm
High 33
11 Sept
28.1 °C
27 %
23 km/h
0.0 mm
High 36
12 Sept
29.4 °C
35 %
23 km/h
0.0 mm
High 38
13 Sept
30.6 °C
28 %
19 km/h
0.0 mm
High 36
14 Sept
24.1 °C
50 %
38 km/h
0.8 mm
Very high 39
15 Sept
17.3 °C
64 %
41 km/h
0.2 mm
High 28
16 Sept
22.0 °C
45 %
34 km/h
0.0 mm
High 29
17 Sept
22.3 °C
45 %
27 km/h
0.0 mm
High 25
18 Sept
24.2 °C
39 %
27 km/h
0.0 mm
High 31
19 Sept
27.3 °C
37 %
30 km/h
0.0 mm
High 36
20 Sept
27.3 °C
40 %
22 km/h
0.0 mm
High 32
21 Sept
26.3 °C
47 %
36 km/h
0.1 mm
High 37
22 Sept
21.2 °C
44 %
30 km/h
3.1 mm
Low 8
23 Sept
19.0 °C
69 %
60 km/h
15.4 mm
Very low 0
24 Sept
17.9 °C
58 %
41 km/h
0.1 mm
Very low 4
25 Sept
19.6 °C
42 %
16 km/h
0.0 mm
Very low 3
26 Sept
21.5 °C
44 %
40 km/h
0.0 mm
High 22
27 Sept
22.2 °C
53 %
39 km/h
0.8 mm
Moderate 19
28 Sept
22.2 °C
38 %
55 km/h
0.0 mm
High 38
29 Sept
22.7 °C
24 %
53 km/h
0.0 mm
Extreme 54
30 Sept after
20.9 °C
43 %
48 km/h
1.5 mm
Very high 39
Its twins: fires that started in the same weather
It started with an FWI of 31.6, a minimum humidity of 36% and 10 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2022: 33.
FWI at the start31.6
Minimum humidity36 %
Days without rain10
this firechosen twinsrest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar
Outlines of the closest twins
Melitopol fire, June 2026
113 ha1 dayFWI 31.1Min. humidity 35 %35 km away, in 2026
First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: 1.9 mm on 4 Jul.
It burned an area similar to its twins (168 ha against a median of 196 ha) and lasted 71 days, against 2 days.
In 9 of 33, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.4 mm.
This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it
How it ended
1.5 mmfirst rain
30 Septthe day after it ended
60km/h · max. gust
It was considered over on 29 Sept, and on 30 Sept 1.5 mm fell. We do not know whether the rain or the firefighters put it out. Twins with rain when they ended: 24 of 33, with a median of 2.4 mm.
Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)
How a twin is chosen
Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2022.
Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.
Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.
↔
Before · 14 Jul 2026
After · 6 Oct 2026
Sentinel-2 did not pass over on that day. Try another date, or use false colour, which is daily.
If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.
The smoke
CAMS · Copernicus
On 17 September 2026 the air beside the fire reached 14 µg/m³ of PM2.5, but no daily average passed the WHO guideline (15).
PM2.5 peak14µg/m³
Days over the guideline0days
PM1016µg/m³
Optical depth0.25
1617181920
GoodFairModeratePoorVery poorExtremely poor
Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.
Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)
Detections table· 96Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.›
⬇ Download CSVTimes in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
According to the heat detections seen by satellite, it burned from 21 July 2026 to 29 September 2026 (71 days between the first and the last detection). There is no perimeter yet to date it.
How much area did it burn?
There is no official perimeter yet. Heat detections rebuild about 168 hectares with fire (1.7 km²); Copernicus will publish the measured figure within days.
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 33.9 °C, humidity dropped to 16 % and gusts hit 60 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 72, class Very extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the EFFIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Ukraine (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2022 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 33. Their median duration was 2 days and their median area 196 ha; 3 % went past 1,000 ha. In 9 of 33, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.4 mm.
Where to verify it
A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.
This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.
⚑Report an errorHow we know this›
No perimeter yet: the area (≈ 168 ha) is estimated by counting VIIRS pixels with fire, about 14 ha each.
Dates of the first and last VIIRS detection of the cluster. 96 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
The perimeter and land cover come from the Copernicus European Forest Fire Information System (EFFIS), measured on MODIS and Sentinel-2 imagery and published under CC BY 4.0. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Public Domain). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ slightly from each country’s official figure.