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MM · Myanmar · –

Oktwin fire, March 2021 Paukkhaung, Taungoo, Oktwin

Out · last detection 27 Mar 2021, 05:58 UTC

The fire started on 15 March 2021 in Oktwin, Myanmar, and satellites saw it burning for 13 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 2,563 hectares from heat detections, spread across 3 municipalities.

It is the 20th largest in Bago since 2016 (of 45 with a page). Number 113 in Myanmar in 2021, of 190.

Burnt area
2,563ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
13days
15 Mar 2021 – 27 Mar 2021
Municipalities hit
3
municipalities
Started on
15 Mar
2021
Heat detections
119
in a single hotspot: 361 MW
Danger at start
38
High · FWI index
Average daily power
774MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 15 Mar27 Mar
27 Mar 2021

How it evolved, day by day

15 Mar 2021 · 1 MW · 1 18 Mar 2021 · 123 MW · 4 19 Mar 2021 · 41 MW · 10 20 Mar 2021 · 1,407 MW · 13 21 Mar 2021 · 3,812 MW · 64 22 Mar 2021 · 73 MW · 15 23 Mar 2021 · 27 MW · 5 27 Mar 2021 · 711 MW · 7
15 Mar 19 Mar 21 Mar 23 Mar

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

40°high
41km/h · peak gust
21%lowest humidity

It had gone 22 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started. Rain came after the fire: 1.0 mm on 4 Apr.

This area had burned before

80% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 334 ha in 2016, 1,791 ha in 2019, 235 ha in 2020. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 2,045 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 1.6% of the area of London (26 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. 1,752 ha reached on 15 Mar
    0.9 %
  2. 646 ha reached on 19 Mar
    0.4 %
  3. Oktwin where it started
    179 ha reached on 18 Mar
    0.1 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2020
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2020, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
15 Mar 37.6 °C 25 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm High 38
16 Mar 37.8 °C 28 % 29 km/h 0.0 mm High 38
17 Mar 38.3 °C 23 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
18 Mar 37.7 °C 21 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 39
19 Mar 39.2 °C 22 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 39
20 Mar 39.4 °C 21 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
21 Mar 39.5 °C 22 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
22 Mar 40.1 °C 21 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44
23 Mar 38.7 °C 28 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
24 Mar 38.4 °C 26 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
25 Mar 39.5 °C 30 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 39
26 Mar 38.9 °C 29 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
27 Mar 39.3 °C 31 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 39
28 Mar after 38.1 °C 27 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
29 Mar after 37.2 °C 31 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
30 Mar after 38.5 °C 26 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 43
31 Mar after 38.2 °C 29 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
1 Apr after 37.5 °C 33 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 39
2 Apr after 38.2 °C 32 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm High 38
3 Apr after 31.8 °C 61 % 11 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 20
4 Apr after 28.4 °C 55 % 40 km/h 1.0 mm Moderate 18

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 37.7, a minimum humidity of 25% and 22 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 26.

FWI at the start 37.7
Minimum humidity 25 %
Days without rain 22
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Paukkhaung fire, March 2023
2,230 ha 12 days FWI 37.7 Min. humidity 25 % 23 km away, in 2023

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

12 days
median duration
2,398 ha
median area
100 %
went past 1,000 ha
3.7 mm
rain at the end (median; 12 of 26 had it)

It burned an area similar to its twins (2,563 ha against a median of 2,398 ha) and lasted 13 days, against 12 days.

In 14 of 26, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 3.7 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

1.0 mmfirst rain
4 Apr8 days after it ended
41km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 27 Mar, and on 4 Apr 1.0 mm fell. We do not know whether the rain or the firefighters put it out. Twins with rain when they ended: 12 of 26, with a median of 3.7 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 8 Mar 2021
After · 3 Apr 2021

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

Detections table · 119Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Myanmar

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Oktwin fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 15 March 2021 to 27 March 2021 (13 days). The perimeter dates it from 18 March 2021 to 22 March 2021.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 2,563 hectares (25.6 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire entered 3 municipalities: Paukkhaung (1,752 ha, 0.9 %); Taungoo (646 ha, 0.4 %); Oktwin (179 ha, 0.1 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 40.1 °C, humidity dropped to 21 % and gusts hit 41 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 46, class Very high.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Myanmar (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 26. Their median duration was 12 days and their median area 2,398 ha; 100 % went past 1,000 ha. In 14 of 26, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 3.7 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 2 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Last day with fire: 22 March 2021 → 27 March 2021.
  2. Start date: 18 March 2021 → 15 March 2021.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 18 March 2021 to 22 March 2021. 119 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2020, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM3 (Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.