Bubi fire, 15 October 2026 Bubi
The fire started on 15 October 2026 in Bubi, Zimbabwe, and satellites saw it burning for 3 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 1,740 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.
It is the 245th largest in Matabeleland North since 2016 (of 484 with a page). Number 110 in Zimbabwe in 2026, of 370.
The power measured by the satellite is low (22.2 MW in the strongest hotspot), more typical of grass or stubble burning, or a slow surface fire, than of a large crown fire.
- Burnt area
- 1,740ha
- GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
- Duration
- 3days
- 15 Oct 2026 – 17 Oct 2026
- Municipalities hit
- 1
- districts
- Started on
- 15 Oct
- 2026
- Heat detections
- 22
- in a single hotspot: 22 MW
- Danger at start
- 38
- Very high · FWI index
- Energy released
- 269MW
- sum of detected power
Where it burned
How it evolved, day by day
Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.
The weather it burned in
It had gone 7 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.
This area had burned before
15% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 66 ha in 2018, 202 ha in 2022.
- 121 ha Bubi fire, September 2022 4,028 ha in total; the hectares shown are those it shares with this fire
- 81 ha Bubi fire, October 2022 2,988 ha in total; the hectares shown are those it shares with this fire
- 66 ha Bubi fire, August 2018 1,050 ha in total; the hectares shown are those it shares with this fire
What happened to each town
-
Bubi where it started1,747 ha reached on 15 Oct0.3 %
Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance is from the town centre to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.
The weather day by day
ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.
Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)
| Day | High | Min. humidity | Peak gust | Rain | Danger (FWI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct | 33.2 °C | 18 % | 37 km/h | 0.1 mm | Very high 38 |
| 16 Oct | 32.3 °C | 14 % | 34 km/h | 0.0 mm | Very high 39 |
| 17 Oct | 31.5 °C | 21 % | 34 km/h | 0.0 mm | High 36 |
| 18 Oct after | 32.9 °C | 16 % | 36 km/h | 0.0 mm | High 36 |
Before and after, from space
Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.
If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.
The smoke
CAMS · CopernicusOn 14 October 2026 the air beside the fire reached 21 µg/m³ of PM2.5, but no daily average passed the WHO guideline (15).
Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.
Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)
Detections table · 22Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
| Date and time | Satellite | FRP (MW) | Lat | Lon |
|---|
Other fires nearby
Frequently asked questions
- How long did the Bubi fire last?
- GWIS (Copernicus) dates it between 15 October 2026 and 17 October 2026: 3 days between the first and last heat detection of the perimeter.
- How much area did it burn?
- The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 1,740 hectares (17.4 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
- Which municipalities burned?
- The fire only entered Bubi (1,747 ha, 0.3 %).
- Is the Bubi fire still active?
- No fire detections since 17 Oct 2026, 12:02 UTC. A lack of detections is not an official extinction.
- What was the weather like?
- During the fire the temperature reached 33.2 °C, humidity dropped to 14 % and gusts hit 37 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 39, class Very high.
- Where does this data come from?
- From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Zimbabwe (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
Where to verify it
A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.
Satellite cross-check
Does something look wrong on this page?
This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.
Report an error
Where this data comes from
The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.